interbank midrate

The AUD has tumbled against the GBP for the whole of 2024, falling from highs of 0.5350 in January, to trade around today’s 0.5125. Interest rate differentials drive this price action and the Bank of England appear committed to their tight monetary policy. The UK is in recession but has green-shoots of growth, allowing some leeway for the Bank of England. The AUD has been undermined by less certainty from the Central Bank. Growth and inflation remain key to both currencies, so data will be watched closely in the coming week.

Current Level: 0.5165
Support: 0.5100
Resistance: 0.5190
Last week’s range: 0.5110- 0.5165

The AUD has tumbled against the GBP for the whole of 2024, falling from highs of 0.5350 in January, to trade around today’s 0.5125. Interest rate differentials drive this price action and the Bank of England appear committed to their tight monetary policy. The UK is in a technical economic recession, but is showing signs of a recovery, which has given the Bank of England some backbone to hold rates higher. The cross-rate is likely to remain soft.

Current Level: 0.5120
Support: 0.5100
Resistance: 0.5200
Last week’s range: 0.5130- 0.5160

The AUD has tumbled against the GBP for the whole of 2024, falling from highs of 0.5350 in January, to trade around today’s 0.5125. Interest rate differentials drive this price action and the Bank of England appear committed to their tight monetary policy. The UK is in recession but has green-shoots of growth, allowing some leeway for the Bank of England. The AUD has been undermined by less certainty from the Central Bank. Growth and inflation remain key to both currencies, so data will be watched closely in the coming week.

The current interbank midrate is: AUDGBP .5154 GBPAUD 1.9402

The interbank range this week has been: AUDGBP .5129 – 5184 GBPAUD 1.9287 – 1.9490

UK Consumer Confidence slipped to -21 from -19 in January coming in well below forecast. This being said the British Pound (GBP) has managed to hold onto gains Monday extending last week’s rally from 1.9190 (0.5210) to 1.9400 (0.5155). Broad based momentum is firmly with the GBP after starting the year at 1.8250 (0.5480). We are picking a retest of the yearly low at 0.5120 (1.9520) over the coming days as the current trendline supports. Aussie Retail Sales at the end of the week could give us some AUD upside with predictions of a decent number printing.

Current Level: 0.5152
Support: 0.5130
Resistance: 0.5200
Last week’s range: 0.5173- 0.5210

The Australian Dollar (AUD) recovered off 0.5120 (1.9520) late in the week to claw back gains to 0.5190 (1.9260) this morning against the British Pound (GBP). Momentum to the downside has been broken with price travelling through the 0.5180 (1.9300) channel resistance area on its way to posting a fortnight high. RBA minutes releases today from their first meeting of 2024, the central bank will no doubt reiterate their concerns of high inflation and their call to hike if needed. Wednesday’s wage price index should confirm upside risks to wage growth and further work required from the RBA. We expect the Aussie to do well over the week.

Current Level: 0.5184
Support: 0.5125
Resistance: 0.5210
Last week’s range: 0.5120- 0.5195