AUD/USD Transfer

Fridays stronger than forecast US jobs data has put pressure on the Australian Dollar (AUD) falling from 0.6670 levels back to 0.6580 to close the week. Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) numbers came in way above the 182,000 predicted at 272,000 causing markets to buy the US Dollar (USD) as expectations of reductions to interest rate cuts were extended out. We may only see 1 cut in November compared to earlier forecasts of 6 in 2024, we will get a better look at this Thursday when the Fed Meet. Also, on the calendar this week is Australian Unemployment data with softer numbers expected. The AUD has kicked on to 0.6600 into Tuesday- not sure it has much more topside momentum.

Current Level: 0.6597
Support: 0.6530
Resistance: 0.6700
Last week’s range: 0.6577- 0.6698

EURO/NZD Transfer

The Euro (EUR) rallied Friday coming off 0.5695 (1.7560) area to reach 0.5650 (1.7700) against the New Zealand Dollar (NZD). The kiwi contending with an intense session Friday after US job numbers boosted the US Dollar as investors sold “risk”. However, the Euro gave it all back Monday reacting to the weekend European Parliamentary election result. The NZD/EUR is inching closer to the yearly open price at 0.5730 (1.7450), we expect the NZD bull run to continue over June.

Current Level: 1.7574
Resistance: 1.7790
Support: 1.7450
Last Weeks Range: 1.7524 – 1.7698

NZD/EURO Transfer

The Euro (EUR) rallied Friday coming off 0.5695 (1.7560) area to reach 0.5650 (1.7700) against the New Zealand Dollar (NZD). The kiwi contending with an intense session Friday after US job numbers boosted the US Dollar as investors sold “risk”. However, the Euro gave it all back Monday reacting to the weekend European Parliamentary election result. The NZD/EUR is inching closer to the yearly open price at 0.5730 (1.7450), we expect the NZD bull run to continue over June.

Current Level: 0.5690
Support: 0.5620
Resistance: 0.5730
Last week’s range: 0.5650- 0.5706

GBP/NZD Transfer

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) retreated from the 0.4855 (2.0600) level Friday falling to 0.4800 (2.0845 at the close of the week reversing a large part of a 5 week climb from around 0.4785 (2.0900). Risk currencies all got sold off the back of a surprising upswing in US job’s data. Into Tuesday prices in the pair sit around the weekly open at 0.9285 (1.0770). We await UK GDP tomorrow, the UK economy is predicted to grow 0.0% in April after 0.4% in March suggesting that although the country is out of recession they are running close to the wire. Risk remain to the upside for the kiwi.

Current Level: 2.0785
Resistance: 2.0900
Support: 2.0600
Last Weeks Range: 2.0605- 2.0845

NZD/GBP Transfer

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) retreated from the 0.4855 (2.0600) level Friday falling to 0.4800 (2.0845 at the close of the week reversing a large part of a 5 week climb from around 0.4785 (2.0900). Risk currencies all got sold off the back of a surprising upswing in US job’s data. Into Tuesday prices in the pair sit around the weekly open at 0.9285 (1.0770). We await UK GDP tomorrow, the UK economy is predicted to grow 0.0% in April after 0.4% in March suggesting that although the country is out of recession they are running close to the wire. Risk remain to the upside for the kiwi.

Current Level: 0.4811
Resistance: 0.4855
Support: 0.4785
Last Weeks Range: 0.4797- 0.4853

AUD/NZD Transfer

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) moved to the edge of the recent uptrend early this week against the Australian Dollar (AUD) to 0.9260 (1.0800) bouncing off the 50% Fib level before spiking into Tuesday to 0.9285 (1.0770) as the kiwi looks to extend its recent form higher. Data this week comes in the form of the Australian Jobs report with predictions the unemployment rate to rise from 3.9% to 4.0% – not enough for the RBA at this stage to consider cutting their cash rate earlier with jobs data still running hot. The NZD looks to be well supported on dips following the run higher from 0.9070 (1.1025)

Current Level: 1.0769
Resistance: 1.0850
Support: 1.0700
Last Weeks Range: 0.9231 – 0.9235

NZD/AUD Transfer

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) moved to the edge of the recent uptrend early this week against the Australian Dollar (AUD) to 0.9260 (1.0800) bouncing off the 50% Fib level before spiking into Tuesday to 0.9285 (1.0770) as the kiwi looks to extend its recent form higher. Data this week comes in the form of the Australian Jobs report with predictions the unemployment rate to rise from 3.9% to 4.0% – not enough for the RBA at this stage to consider cutting their cash rate earlier with jobs data still running hot. The NZD looks to be well supported on dips following the run higher from 0.9070 (1.1025)

Current Level: 0.9277
Resistance: 0.9345
Support: 0.9220
Last Weeks Range: 1.0723- 1.0832

 

NZD/USD Transfer

The New Zealand Dollar (USD) was hammered late Friday loosing over ¾ of a cent against the US Dollar (USD). US jobs data came in mixed, unemployment ticked up to 4.0% from 3.9% but NFP jobs increased a seasonally adjusted 272,000 in May, well above the 182,000 we had expected. This comes as quite the surprise after recent reports of a weakening economy. Interest rate cuts have been adjusted to 1 cut in November 2024 from the original 6 in 2024 which rallied the greenback. The Fed will keep rates unchanged when they meet Thursday however we are expecting more clues as to the Fed’s long term policy predictions and how this may filter through to currency moves. We think downside momentum for the kiwi may continue this week.

Current Level: 0.6124
Support: 0.6050
Resistance: 0.6240
Last week’s range: 0.6100- 0.6214

 

AUD/GBP Transfer

The Australian Dollar (AUD) recorded a fresh 5 week low of 0.5195 (1.9250) against the British Pound (GBP) before pulling back to 0.5215 (1.9170) numbers early Friday. UK Composite PMI’s rose to 54.7 from 52.5 the previous month, the fastest pace over the last 2 years however, with a contracting economy- GDP falling from 5.0% to 1.3% over a matter of months we expect worrying times ahead. Meanwhile Australian GDP came in at 0.1% for the first quarter, softer than the 0.2% markets were expecting. RBA governor Bullock saying if inflation remains sticky the central bank may need to raise rates again. We expect the cross to retest 0.5235 (1.9100) levels based on Fib analysis.

The current interbank midrate is: AUDGBP 0.5210 GBPAUD 1.9193

The interbank range this week has been: AUDGBP 0.5192- 0.5238 GBPAUD 1.9091- 1.9259

 

NZD/GBP Transfer

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) pushed its way past resistance at 0.4840 (2.0660) this week against the British Pound (GBP) on its way to post 0.4855 (2.0600) in early Friday. The first time in 14 weeks (late Feb) we have seen these prices in the cross. UK construction rose in May, the index reporting 54.7 vs 52.5 expected, the biggest increase in activity in two years. Nevertheless, the UK economy is contracting at a rapid rate with worrying times ahead. We could see further upside in the NZD towards 0.4870 (2.0530) where heavy resistance sits.

The current interbank midrate is: NZDGBP 0.4839 GBPNZD 2.0665

The interbank range this week has been: NZDGBP 2.0605- 2.0757 GBPNZD 0.4817- 0.4853