AUD

The Australian Dollar (AUD) clocked 0.6250 (1.6000) late last week against the Euro (EUR) a new yearly high before loosing steam Monday giving back gains to 0.6180 (1.6180). Setbacks in the Aussie should be fairly well supported with key support seen at 0.6170 (1.6215) close by. On the economic docket this week in the cross we have Australian Unemployment data with expectations the unemployment rate should tick higher from 4.0% to 4.1% lending further support of no more hikes to the RBA cash rate. Friday’s ECB cash rate will publish with no change to the 4.25% currently, we expect two further cuts this year from the ECB.

Current Level: 1.6196
Resistance: 1.6215
Support: 1.6000
Last Weeks Range: 1.6000- 1.6089

The Australian Dollar (AUD) clocked 0.6250 (1.6000) late last week against the Euro (EUR) a new yearly high before loosing steam Monday giving back gains to 0.6180 (1.6180). Setbacks in the Aussie should be fairly well supported with key support seen at 0.6170 (1.6215) close by. On the economic docket this week in the cross we have Australian Unemployment data with expectations the unemployment rate should tick higher from 4.0% to 4.1% lending further support of no more hikes to the RBA cash rate. Friday’s ECB cash rate will publish with no change to the 4.25% currently, we expect two further cuts this year from the ECB.

Current Level: 0.6174
Resistance: 0.6250
Support: 0.6165
Last Weeks Range: 0.6215- 0.6250

The British Pound (GBP) extended its run Monday off 1.9140 (0.5225) against the Australian Dollar (AUD) to reach 1.9270 (0.5190) this morning a 5-week high. The GBP however could run into selling pressures in the run up to tonight’s UK inflation release as punters unwind long Pound positions. Should Australian jobs numbers come in light tomorrow we could see further speculation by the RBA of a hike at their next meeting- chances are 25% at the moment with inflation not behaving. Heavy support seen at 0.5170 (1.9340) on the chart but we expect prices to reverse back towards the 0.5210 (1.9200) zone.

Current Level: 1.9278
Resistance: 1.9400
Support: 1.8940
Last Weeks Range: 1.8948- 1.9144

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) hasn’t had much luck in July overall, against the Euro (EUR) it has been hammered from around 0.5670 (1.7570) areas to 0.5540 (1.8060) this morning having started the week at 0.5610 (1.7820). NZ CPI initially sent the NZD lower this morning but has kicked back to 0.5570 (1.7950) surprisingly.  Fridays ECB cash rate announcement and statement will see the central bank leave rates unchanged at 4.25% with no further rhetoric surrounding the recent dovish monetary slant expected.

Current Level: 1.7973
Resistance: 1.8100
Support: 1.7420
Last Weeks Range: 1.7588 – 1.7884

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) hasn’t had much luck in July overall, against the Euro (EUR) it has been hammered from around 0.5670 (1.7570) areas to 0.5540 (1.8060) this morning having started the week at 0.5610 (1.7820). NZ CPI initially sent the NZD lower this morning but has kicked back to 0.5570 (1.7950) surprisingly.  Fridays ECB cash rate announcement and statement will see the central bank leave rates unchanged at 4.25% with no further rhetoric surrounding the recent dovish monetary slant expected.

Current Level: 0.5573
Support: 0.5525
Resistance: 0.5740
Last week’s range: 0.5591- 0.5685

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) has been the worst performing main board currency over the past week evident in the NZD/GBP cross with the British Pound (GBP) improving off 2.1200 (0.4715) Monday to reach 2.1490 (0.4655) earlier today. NZ CPI for the second quarter ending June came in at 0.4% compared to 0.6% expected. Year on year dropped to 3.3% from 4.0%, all but confirming two rate cuts in 2024 by the RBNZ. We expect the NZD to remain under pressure into the weekly close.

Current Level: 2.1353
Resistance: 2.1570
Support: 2.0600
Last Weeks Range: 2.0808- 2.1239

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) has been the worst performing main board currency over the past week evident in the NZD/GBP cross with the British Pound (GBP) improving off 2.1200 (0.4715) Monday to reach 2.1490 (0.4655) earlier today. NZ CPI for the second quarter ending June came in at 0.4% compared to 0.6% expected. Year on year dropped to 3.3% from 4.0%, all but confirming two rate cuts in 2024 by the RBNZ. We expect the NZD to remain under pressure into the weekly close.

Current Level: 0.4683
Resistance: 0.4855
Support: 0.4635
Last Weeks Range: 0.4708- 0.4806

The Australian Dollar (AUD) extending its run against the New Zealand Dollar (NZD)  to reach 0.8985 (1.1130) this morning. This signifies a fresh 2024 low in the pair as the NZD comes under further pressure. NZ CPI published at 0.4% after 0.6% was expected taking down the year-on-year inflation to 3.3% from 4.0%. The kiwi has edged higher off the release pushing to around 0.9000 (1.1110) – 0.9010 (1.1010) but could meet pressure at 0.9025 (1.1080). Australian unemployment tomorrow should release at 4.1% up from 4.0%.

Current Level: 1.1071
Resistance: 1.1170
Support: 1.1000
Last Weeks Range: 0.8995 – 0.9121

The Australian Dollar (AUD) extending its run against the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) to reach 0.8985 (1.1130) this morning. This signifies a fresh 2024 low in the pair as the NZD comes under further pressure. NZ CPI published at 0.4% after 0.6% was expected taking down the year-on-year inflation to 3.3% from 4.0%. The kiwi has edged higher off the release pushing to around 0.9000 (1.1110) – 0.9010 (1.1010) but could meet pressure at 0.9025 (1.1080). Australian unemployment tomorrow should release at 4.1% up from 4.0%.

Current Level: 0.9023
Resistance: 0.9090
Support: 0.8950
Last Weeks Range: 1.0963-1.1117