NZD to CAD

The massive slump in the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) since the 19th of September from 0.9000 has seen price fall to 0.8615 in early week trading against the Canadian Dollar (CAD). The surge in support for the Loonie has been all about Crude Oil and energy prices with oil arriving into the 80’s this morning up 1.7% overnight and counting. Natural Gas has surged by more than 300% to trade at its highest level since 2014 outplaying crude and commodities. These price surges have impacted oil with consumers looking for cheaper ways to substitute with energy providers swapping onto oil from natural gas. The cross narrowly avoided the June 2020 low of 0.8600 this morning rising to 0.8660 in thin trading conditions.
Exchange Rates
Current Level: 0.8660
Resistance: 0.8700
Support: 0.8600
Last Weeks Range: 0.8640-0.8792

With downside moves in equity indices overnight with losses ranging from 1.0% to 2.5% has led cross currencies to weaken off, the New Zealand Dollar (NZD), Canadian Dollar (CAD) pair trading around the 0.8750 area as it looks to extend last week’s declines from 0.8870. RBNZ Wednesday is the focus this week widely predicted to raise the official interest rate to 0.50% from 0.25%. Earlier markets had predicted a double hike by 0.50% but assistant governor Hawkesby put this to bed by saying “risks are evenly balanced” as the economy struggles to bounce back from covid with extended lockdowns. We expect more weakness in the kiwi this week as it makes moves below the 100 day MA.
Exchange Rates
Current Level: 0.8760
Resistance: 0.8850
Support: 0.8700
Last Weeks Range: 0.8723-0.8877

Big declines in the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) to 0.8740 against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) over the week were felt by loonie buyers as the pair suffered its worst weekly performance since early 2020. A slew of factors led to the kiwi demise, leading the way was the souring Crude Oil levels with price reaching 75.00 per barrel this morning. Risk off flow supported the CAD on greenback strength as equity indices slumped reporting the first bearish monthly close since January. Next week’s RBNZ cash rate and statement is our focus with reports the RBNZ will hike 0.25% instead of the 0.50% markets had previously priced in.
Exchange Rates
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8749
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8723-0.8878

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) remained well supported against the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) as we headed into the week, the CAD improved on Friday’s closing price from 0.8880 to squeeze the kiwi to level 0.8850. Outperforming Crude Oil underpinned the Loonie with its value climbing to over 75.00 per barrel, over 1.90% on the day trading. As supply shortages tighten global energy prices skyrocket ahead of the northern hemisphere winter approaching. Oil demand is recovering from the delta variant faster than expected putting massive supply constraints on supply chains. Canadian m/m GDP is Friday, until then we may see further drops to price towards the four week low at 0.8800.

Exchange Rates
Current Level: 0.8850
Resistance: 0.9030
Support: 0.8800
Last Weeks Range: 0.8830-0.9018

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) dropped in value this week against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) reaching 0.8900 levels before entering Friday around 0.8950. The certainty of Trudeau winning his third term as Liberal Party Prime Minister kept aside any large shifts. Trudeau however narrowly failed to win a majority of votes as he wanted, partly the reason why he called a snap election in the first place, with the new government to look fairly similar to the old one. The conservatives won 156 votes, 14 short of the 170 needed to get a majority in the House of Commons. Canadian Retail Sales came in better than expected at -1.0% compared to -1.5% rebounded hard from May/June reports. The key standout next week will be Canadian GDP m/m. In the meantime we see heavy resistance at 0.8970 with downside moves likely to close out the week.

Exchange Rates
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8944
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8902- 0.9034

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) reversed most of last week’s losses against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) into Tuesday reaching the 0.9030 zone. A sell off in equities weakened the Loonie in Monday trading with US Indices all dropping over 2.0%. Stress in China and Fed outlook on central bank policy as they ignore recent inflationary pressures has added to the pessimistic tone. The kiwi encouraged by an overnight Crude Oil slump falling around 1.7%. This week’s Canadian Election sees voters split between the main players. Trudeau’s liberal govt returning to a majority led govt looks slim at this stage with the conservative party also a decent chance of coming in. Expect some volatility in the cross, especially if the Conservative party is voted in which could cause uncertainty.Exchange Rates
Current Level: 0.8974
Resistance: 0.9040
Support: 0.8940
Last Weeks Range: 0.8944-0.9034

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) eased off recent highs to 0.8960 Friday against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) in a dreary way, the cross lacking any real direction over the week. NZ GDP ending June quarter 2021 rose by 2.8% above forecast of 1.1% underpinned by government spending, record low interest rates and rising house prices. Predictions for a serious contraction in the third quarter with coronavirus setbacks in Auckland due to lockdown restrictions kept the cross flat post the result. Earlier Canadian CPI which was forecast at 0.1% released at 0.2% rising 4.1% y/y the highest level since 2003. This comes after the Bank of Canada signalled lifting prices were transitory with pandemic related supply bottlenecks. Next week’s Federal Election will occupy much of the media out of Canada. We expect the kiwi to retest recent highs in the coming days.
Exchange Rates
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8965
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8947- 0.9031

After a massive 3 weeks of rises for the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) vs the Canadian Dollar (CAD) to 0.9040 price moves have been restricted to around the 0.9000 mark into Tuesday as the cross enters a consolidation phase. Crude Oil prices have surged through 70.00 per barrel as supply restrictions were hampered by hurricane Ida. The hurricane hit nearly half of crude production in key producing regions. Canadian CPI m/m is expected to fall to 0.1% from July’s 0.6% with NZ q/q GDP expected to rise by a record level to June. Risk in the cross is to the downside this week.

Exchange Rates
Current Level: 0.9002
Resistance: 0.9080
Support: 0.8880
Last Weeks Range: 0.8922-0.9040

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) progresses through to fresh highs around 0.9040 Thursday extending the 3-week rally against the Canadian Dollar (CAD). The Bank of Canada (BoC) left rates unchanged overnight as well as monetary policy failing to enhance a hawkish tone. Macklem’s speech was roughly consistent with expectations that the BoC will hold off raising rates and tightening policy until later next year. Setbacks in the Loonie post release were mitigated by a surge in Ivey PMI’s taking the CAD back to 0.8990 this morning. Canadian unemployment tonight is forecast to come in at 7.3% in August from July’s 7.5

Exchange Rates
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.9000
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8920- 0.9040

We haven’t seen a lot lately on the NZ calendar to speak of, certainly the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) hasn’t been driven higher by data, instead risk markets have been the active ingredient taking the cross to 0.8970 a five month high against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) ending the week. This week’s key data will be the RBA cash rate and policy announcement with predictions of a hawkish tone as the RBC start discussing tapering back their QE package. Later focus will be on Canadian Employment figures with the Unemployment Rate in Canada due out Friday and predicted to show lower August numbers.
Exchange Rates
Current Level: 0.8945
Resistance: 0.9040
Support: 0.8840
Last Weeks Range: 0.8866-0.8973

Equities bounced out of negative territory overnight assisting to bump the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) higher to 0.8950 against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) as risk sentiment remained elevated. Canadian GDP for the month of June released at 0.7% or -1.1% contraction on an annual basis as inflation remains high. Forecasts are for zero growth in the third quarter after a disappointing second quarter. Canadian Prime Minister Trudeau called a snap election 2 years early, hoping an early campaign could get his party back in government. With voting to start on the 20th September. His lead in the polls is vanishing fast as punters were left frustrated why an election so early was necessary. Further topside moves ar likely as covid cases in NZ come down and chances rise for the RBNZ to hike in the October meeting.
Exchange Rates
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8925
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8805- 0.8959

Despite New Zealand going into level 4 lockdowns recently the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) remains buoyant against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) with price reaching 0.8850 into the close. A mix of broad based greenback selling from dovish Fed comments, a drop in Canadian industrial products and stock indices back around all-time highs have underpinned the kiwi. Looking ahead, tomorrow’s Canadian GDP m/m for June should come in around 0.7% up from May’s -0.3% result. A daily close above 0.8850 could signal further topside for the NZD, early Tuesday however sees price easing back to 0.8820,
Exchange Rates
Current Level: 0.8867
Resistance: 0.8880
Support: 0.8680
Last Weeks Range: 0.8707-0.8852

Massive support at 0.8680 held in the New Zealand Dollar (NZD), Canadian Dollar (CAD) cross early in the week with prices bouncing off this area hard to 0.8810 into Friday as markets enjoyed a week of positive risk sentiment with global worries put to one side. While Canadian wholesale sales disappointed factors around global outcomes receded. Mood was also helped by positive comments by covid advisor Fauci. The highest daily close in the pair over the past 4 months is 0.8850, this level could be retested if we see concrete comments around how the Fed will taper from Powell at the Jackson Hole Symposium.
Exchange Rates
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8814
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8683- 0.8817

Recent movement in the New Zealand Dollar (NZD), Canadian Dollar (CAD) saw a continuation of Friday’s decline into Monday with the pair clocking 0.8680, a proven support line. Tuesday a spike back towards 0.8720 buoyed by a positive night in equities and the kiwi avoided an 8-week low at 0.8665. Canadian Retail Sales printed well Friday at 4.7% up from June’s -2.0% led by higher sales in clothing and clothing accessories after easing restrictions took place in June. No tier 1 data this week on the economic docket, we suspect price should stick within recent ranges.
Exchange Rates
Current Level: 0.8708
Resistance: 0.8850
Support: 0.8760
Last Weeks Range: 0.8650-8821

Market turned risk off Monday as the Taliban control of Afghanistan and the US decision of US troops to withdraw from the area weighed on sentiment. The New Zealand Dollar (NZD), Canadian Dollar (CAD) pair was bid Monday as Crude Oil demands worsened as weak Chinese data weighed on price with the commodity coming off 1.5% during overnight trading. Looking ahead we have RBNZ tomorrow, the central bank is widely predicted to hike rates from 0.25% to 0.50% – the first hike since April 2014. We may see the kiwi push a little higher on the release, especially if the RBNZ raises rates 0.50% with a small chance of this happening.
Exchange Rates
Current Level: 0.8823
Resistance: 0.8900
Support: 0.8760
Last Weeks Range: 0.8757-0.8841

Market turned risk off Monday as the Taliban control of Afghanistan and the US decision of US troops to withdraw from the area weighed on sentiment. The New Zealand Dollar (NZD), Canadian Dollar (CAD) pair was bid Monday as Crude Oil demands worsened as weak Chinese data weighed on price with the commodity coming off 1.5% during overnight trading. Looking ahead we have RBNZ tomorrow, the central bank is widely predicted to hike rates from 0.25% to 0.50% – the first hike since April 2014. We may see the kiwi push a little higher on the release, especially if the RBNZ raises rates 0.50% with a small chance of this happening.
Exchange Rates
Current Level: 0.8823
Resistance: 0.8900
Support: 0.8760
Last Weeks Range: 0.8757-0.8841

Surprisingly the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) eased lower over the week against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) to 0.8760 in early Friday trading. Risk off sentiment has been the driver of lower prices even though NZ CPI expectations gave reason to buy the kiwi. The latest survey highlighted respondents expect the inflation to be at 2.27% in two years’ time with the one year at 3.02%. Currently this spiked to 3.3% y/y in the second quarter. This result is significant with the RBNZ meeting next week. Downside shifts in the pair we expect to be capped heading into next week.
Exchange Rates
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8774
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8753- 0.8822

A massive improvement in New Zealand Employment Data spiked the kiwi last week to 0.8880 from 0.8690 levels after the NZ Unemployment Rate dived from 4.7% to 4.0% pushing up the NZD across the board. On the contrary the Canadian jobs report wasn’t so spectacular with their Unemployment Rate increasing from 7.4% to 7.5%. Risk sentiment and a well supported US Dollar took the shine off the kiwi late in the week after US Non-Farm Payroll improved, spiking the greenback and sending the cross currencies lower. Early Tuesday trading sees the pair hovering around 0.8800 levels. We think the NZD should be well supported this week with RBNZ expected to hike rates next week.
Exchange Rates
Current Level: 0.8783
Resistance: 0.8870
Support: 0.8760
Last Weeks Range: 0.8757-0.8887

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) extended declines down to 0.8680 into the close of the week against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) boosted by Crude Oil prices, the commodity reaching 74.00 per barrel. Canadian GDP came in at -0.3% meeting expectations as the rebound in the economy starts to gather pace with businesses reopening. Risk on Monday saw the kiwi improve to 0.8720 as markets await NZ employment data tomorrow and Canadian employment Friday. Predictions are for the NZ Unemployment Rate to tick lower from 4.7% in June which in turn should give the NZD a lift.
Exchange Rates
Current Level: 0.8731
Resistance: 0.8840
Support: 0.8630
Last Weeks Range: 0.8697-0.8771

For the second week straight the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) has devalued against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) to 0.8700 levels. Of late it’s been about the rise and rise of Crude Oil underpinning the CAD, overnight it has spiked to 73.50 per barrel up 1.65%. Canadian inflation did release softer than expected for the month of June at 0.3% but it’s still at a 10 year high. The Bank of Canada still says the red hot economy is temporary as the economy is still reeling from the pandemic with inflation expected to ease back to 2.0% by 2022 signalling the interest rate will be kept low at 0.25% until the second half of 2022. With the RBNZ expected to start hiking next month we should see upside in the pair over the next few weeks.
Exchange Rates
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8726
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8693- 0.8787

Retail Sales published down on predictions in Canada late Friday at -2.1% but not as poor as the expected -3.0%. The figure represents a decline of 53.8B of sales for May as many retailers continue to face closures due to the pandemic. Risk mood Monday was positive assisting the kiwi to 0.8780 areas. This week’s Canadian CPI and later monthly GDP are the key standouts this week with predictions of an actual drop to 3.2% from 3.6% y/y the highest inflation rate in 10 years. Recovering Crude Oil prices could support the Loonie (CAD) again this week, we are not expecting a flurry of NZD buying in the pair this and movement should be limited to the downside.
Exchange Rates
Current Level: 0.8775
Resistance: 0.8850
Support: 0.8630
Last Weeks Range: 0.8733-0.8853

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) pushed higher Monday extending Friday’s gains through to 0.8900 against th Canadian Dollar (CAD) but was soon sold off back to 0.8820 as risk sentiment turned down. It’s been an awful night for risk products with US equity markets falling over 2%, the DOW falling 2.55% and Crude Oil also coming off recent highs dropping 8.4% of its value. The broad based demand for the US Dollar on yield differentials have caused the flight to safety for investors as well as the coronavirus delta variant starting to really hit home the problems it’s causing around the world. Canadian Retail Sales is the only highlight on the calendar this week, we don’t imagine seeing too much further upside develop for the kiwi as big picture risk themes continue.
Exchange Rates
Current Level: 0.8816
Resistance: 0.9000
Support: 0.8740
Last Weeks Range: 0.8669-0.8910

Price in the Canadian Dollar (CAD), New Zealand Dollar (NZD) cross lingered around 0.8700 levels over the first half of the week before rallying to reach an eight week high of 0.8815 heading into Friday. The RBNZ left rates unchanged as expected at 0.25% Wednesday but brought forward their stance on hikes, pricing in an increase possibly in August or November. All of the 4 major banks have accordingly priced in a 0.25% price hike from next month as the RBNZ said they would end its bond buying purchases by July 23rd. Yesterday’s Bank of Canada also left interest rates on hold at 0.25%. The central bank said they would also start to reduce the amount of bond purchases per week to keep a cap on the borrowing costs of CAD 3B per week, this is compared to the previous figure of around CAD 5B per week earlier in the year. The central bank will retain the cash rate at 0.25% until the second half of next year even though inflation has risen to 3.6% y/y well above the bank’s target of 2.0% inflation. This points to an appreciating NZD over the coming months based on yield differentials.
Exchange Rates
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8821
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8666- 0.8845

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) surged to 0.8780 midweek against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) as Crude Oil prices plunged to 72.00 from 76.80 highs taking buyers out of the Loonie (CAD). Canadian Purchasing Managers Index showed expansion in May rising from 64.7 to 71.9, anything generally over 50.0 represents an increase of activity and optimism. Overnight Stock Markets moved lower while risk currencies went south and Crude recovered slightly sending the cross lower off 0.8780 to 0.8700. Looking ahead we have the RBNZ rate announcement and policy statement Wednesday with predictions the central bank will “adjust” their rate hike forecast sooner to November this year.
Exchange Rates
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8697
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8646- 0.8779

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) attempted to push higher Monday in thin market volatility against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) reaching 0.8680 before losing momentum. Crude Oil has made another multi year high this morning reaching 76.30 up 1.5% overnight and looks set to continue to underpin the Loonie (CAD) for a while yet. A daily close below 0.8620 could spell further downside for the kiwi as it continues to struggle in 2021- down over 5 cents. The only data on the calendar this week is Canadian Unemployment with predictions of 7.7% for June down from May’s 8.2%.
Exchange Rates
Current Level: 0.8704
Resistance: 0.8800
Support: 0.8620
Last Weeks Range: 0.8630-0.8712

With risk conditions over the week supporting the Canadian Dollar (CAD) the New Zealand Dollar has struggled to gain any real momentum trading lower off the opening price of 0.8690 down to 0.8660 into Friday Sessions. The Loonie (CAD) received a boost from a better than expected Canadian GDP read for April coming in at -0.3% compared to -0.8%. This has been accompanied by Crude prices trading around 75.00- up 2.0% overnight. Next week’s Canadian employment release together with unemployment is the focus with predictions of the current 8.2% to go higher amid the delta variant spreading across Canada.
Exchange Rates
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8658
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8630- 0.8709

The recent surges in Crude Oil prices have been underpinning the Canadian Dollar (CAD), the currency outperforming the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) for months. Last week’s risk mood was enough to see a fight back in the kiwi from a yearly low of 0.8600 back to around 0.8700 areas into Tuesday sessions. Looking ahead we have key Canadian GDP Thursday with predictions of a -0.8% read for April. Markets are expecting another poor release for May’s economic growth before expansion in June as the economy relaxes covid restrictions. Today Adrian Orr will speak at 2pm NZT on the RBNZ’s Statement of Intent. We may see a little movement around this time.
Exchange Rates
Current Level: 0.8675
Resistance: 0.8750
Support: 0.8600
Last Weeks Range: 0.8624-0.8721

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) posted a fresh 2021 low of 0.8595 against the Canadian Dollar recently but recovered on risk mood to around 0.8700 levels into Friday. Massive support in the CAD remains with Crude Oil pushing into the 73.50’s underpinning the CAD but the “risk led kiwi with equities at record highs improved the kiwi. Bank of Canada’s Macklem is in the final throes of a mandate which could see him have more power over Prime Minister Trudeau’s govt in order to run the economy hot. The 5-year inflation target mandate is up for renewal with changes predicted to allow Macklem to run the economy much higher than the 2% target. Macklem has hinted at a 1 to 3% policy change. These are good levels to buy CAD with predictions of a retest of the long term trend low.
Exchange Rates
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8704
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8621- 0.8713

Choppy conditions remain in the Canadian Dollar (CAD), New Zealand Dollar (NZD) cross with price movement preferring the downside based on recent US Dollar strength and the lack of “risk on” sentiment. Friday’s action saw a decline through key support at 0.8650 travelling to an August 2020 low of 0.8595. Even though the Loonie (CAD) has come under a lot of pressure lately in the aftermath of last week’s Fed’s hawkish shift in policy, crude oil prices have been underpinning the CAD. Up 2.5% overnight the kiwi will struggle to kick on this week. Canadian Retail Sales print Thursday.

Exchange Rates
Current Level: 0.8638
Resistance: 0.8710
Support: 0.8600
Last Weeks Range: 0.8598-0.8715

Early signs the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) was going to stage a comeback ended at 0.8715 when the Canadian Dollar (CAD) pushed back taking the cross to 0.8640. Canadian CPI published at 0.5% up from the 0.4% m/m and accelerated the y/y inflation to 3.6% from 3.4% at the same time in April 2020. Gasoline prices equate for a large chunk of the number with prices rising 43.4%. NZ first quarter GDP should have pushed the kiwi much higher than it did only reaching 0.8700 on the release. Figures showed the economy has grown 1.6% for the first quarter of 2021 avoiding another recession after the fourth quarter 2020 contraction of -1.0%. The lowest weekly close of 2021 is at 0.8640, the kiwi will be doing well to avoid current downside pressures and stay above 0.8650.
Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8649
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8633- 0.8715

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) narrowly escaped from posting a new long term low Friday when price sharply rose from 0.8630 levels equalling the yearly low to 0.8750 into Monday. Price drifted to 0.8700 levels midday Tuesday as risk markets soured. We wait for ANZ Business Confidence later today before tomorrows’ Bank of Canada rate statement and monetary policy read. We should get some idea of what the BoC are thinking on their next tapper with predictions of them lowering the emergency funding stimulus. The second taper is expected to come into play at the 14 July BoC meeting. If crude oil holds around 70.00 we could see the kiwi weaken further.
Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.8662
Resistance: 0.8560
Support: 0.8630
Last Weeks Range: 0.8643-0.8738

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) narrowly escaped from posting a new long term low Friday when price sharply rose from 0.8630 levels equalling the yearly low to 0.8750 into Monday. Price drifted to 0.8700 levels midday Tuesday as risk markets soured. We wait for ANZ Business Confidence later today before tomorrows’ Bank of Canada rate statement and monetary policy read. We should get some idea of what the BoC are thinking on their next tapper with predictions of them lowering the emergency funding stimulus. The second taper is expected to come into play at the 14 July BoC meeting. If crude oil holds around 70.00 we could see the kiwi weaken further.
Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.8714
Resistance: 0.8780
Support: 0.8630
Last Weeks Range: 0.8630-0.8748

After weeks of declines in the Canadian Dollar (CAD), New Zealand Dollar (NZD) cross, we have seen the kiwi recover a chunk of losses last week (three weeks to be exact) post the RBNZ decision to climb off 0.8640 to 0.8850 before closing around the 0.8750 mark. Looking ahead we have Canadian GDP m/m tomorrow and employment data Friday. The unemployment rate is expected to click higher to 8.2%. Ongoing oil demand and a hawkish Bank of Canada should make for a sluggish kiwi over the week.
Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.8776
Resistance: 0.8850
Support: 0.8640
Last Weeks Range: 0.8689-0.8852

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) has bounced hard off 0.8640 to recover two week’s worth of losses against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) to 0.8860. The yearly low 0.8640 was quickly in the rear view mirror as the RBNZ policy statement was read Wednesday. The RBNZ left rates unchanged at the record low of 0.25% and kept a limit of 100B for its govt bond buying purchase program. The central bank said they could hike rates as early as the third quarter of 2022 but this was highly conditional. Next week’s Canadian employment numbers print and should reflect a continuing downward trend giving the kiwi a further boost.
Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8785
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8644- 0.8851

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) continued to weaken into the weekly close reaching the August 23rd 2020 low of 0.8635 against the Canadian Dollar (CAD). However, as risk markets have improved Monday with US stock indices up on the day the kiwi has recovered losses to post 0.8700 into Tuesday sessions. Tomorrow’s RBNZ rate release and monetary statement is our focus in an otherwise quiet week of economic data. We may see the tone turn to talk of a tightening faze but cautious based on continued border restrictions and inflationary pressures. We expect the pair to retest the 0.8750 over the week.
Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.8694
Resistance: 0.8760
Support: 0.8630
Last Weeks Range: 0.8634-0.8778

A short burst of excitement to 0.8750 in the New Zealand Dollar (NZD), Canadian Dollar (CAD) pair was met with further selling with the cross reaching 0.8660 in last night’s North American trading. Risk conditions again affected movement with investors selling the kiwi as equity markets slipped lower. The NZ annual Budget is today at 2.00pm NZT, we don’t predict any wild swings in price if we go off previous reports. Canadian Retail Sales prints Saturday morning and could add volatility. With NZ banks starting to price in rate hikes from as early as next August now, we could see a proper rebound take shape over the following weeks.
Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8686
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8662- 0.8778

Signs of further improvements in the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) Friday with price recovering off the low of 0.8665- the August 2020 bottom to 0.8790 were short as the Canadian Dollar (CAD) pushed back Monday. Off the open movement has been all one way, the pair dipping to 0.8700 as it looks to retest long term levels. This week’s excitement lies with the NZ Budget and later Canadian Retail Sales. As Crude Oil prices surge above 66.30 levels so does the Loonie (CAD) with recent strong Canadian data of late. Its hard to see past further declines this week.

Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.8713
Resistance: 0.8870
Support: 0.8660
Last Weeks Range: 0.8663-0.8819

With no economic data published over the week the New Zealand Dollar (NZD), Canadian Dollar (CAD) cross movement has been dictated by risk off and risk on flows. A bumper read in US inflation early in the week saw markets buy up the greenback creating a sell off in the kiwi with price extending lower to 0.8665 mid October 2020 levels. Equities improved in North American trading Thursday taking price back to around 0.8740 early Friday. BoC governor Macklem commented this morning saying rising inflation should be temporary and not to read too much into it. Headline inflation is expected to go above 3% over the next couple of months. We need price to clear 0.8800 to signal a reversal of the current bear trend in the pair.

Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8728
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8663- 0.8842

Price in the Canadian Dollar (CAD), New Zealand Dollar (NZD) cross traded lower Monday to 0.8790 extending declines from Friday’s poor Canadian Unemployment read. The Unemployment Rate pushed up from 7.5% to 8.1% a massive setback, also reported was a fall of 207,000 in employment numbers. Australian Retail Sales came in below expectation of 1.4% at 1.3% Monday in March dragging on the Aussie. Of note this is 2.3% up on March 2020 figures. With no tier one economic news to print this week the pair may shift around current levels influenced by risk mood.
Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.8785
Resistance: 0.8860
Support: 0.8750
Last Weeks Range: 0.8776-0.8862

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) has been bouncing around 5 week lows this week against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) around 0.8770 levels. NZ employment data printed at 0.6% q/q versus an expected 0.3% for the 3 months ending March increasing the number of people employed, with the unemployment rate dropping from 4.9% to 4.7%, lower than the 4.9% forecast- the headline news boosted the kiwi to 0.8860 before giving back gains. The CAD rallied off the back of rising commodity prices and news that the Pfizer vaccine has been cleared for teens. All eyes are now on tonight Canadian jobs data with expectations of an increase to the unemployment rate from 7.5% to 7.8% in April.
Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8787
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8774- 0.8861

A Big move in the Canadian Dollar (CAD), New Zealand Dollar (NZD) last week saw price sink from around 0.9000 all the way to 0.8790 with markets risk averse. Crude oil and Retail Sales boosted the Loonie (CAD) with Crude climbing to 64.50 highs and Retail Sales for February at 4.8% much higher than the 4.0% markets were expecting. Focus this week in the pair is with NZ unemployment and later Canadian unemployment. We could see big swings continue with our pick for the kiwi to target 0.8900

Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.8830
Resistance: 0.8900
Support: 0.8750
Last Weeks Range: 0.8788-0.8987

Record US equity prices and commodities have all helped the Canadian Dollar (CAD) edge ahead of the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) this week. Interestingly post last week’s upbeat Bank of Canada report the kiwi regained earlier losses as it sank in, the central bank had potentially made an error with the tapering of their asset purchase program. The consensus seems to be they have “gone” to soon. Late Monday price reached 0.9000 before easing back to 0.8945 in early Wednesday sessions. Canadian Retail Sales prints tomorrow with predictions of a bounce higher in March from February’s -1.1% release. We see downside bias limited past 0.8930.

Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.8928
Resistance: 0.9050
Support: 0.8900
Last Weeks Range: 0.8812-0.9007

As we predicted the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) struggled to hold above 0.9000 against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) midweek reaching 0.9080 before sharply reversing to 0.8995. NZ Q CPI rose 1.5% from a year earlier and 0.8% from 0.5% in the last quarter matching forecasts. The Reserve Bank has projected inflation to increase to the 1-3% target range late 2021 before slowing in 2022. The Bank of Canada released an upbeat policy report, saying they will start tapering off their asset purchase program to 3B per week from 4B per week to reflect economic progress. The Loonie (CAD) grew another leg on the release with investors heavily back into the CAD sending the cross to 0.8950 early Friday. We expect limited downside and a reasonably quick retest of 0.9000 before the close.

Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8948
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8914- 0.9081

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) sharply returned to form Monday against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) after bouncing back from late NZD/CAD selling from 0.8920 to 0.9005 early Tuesday. Now that the cross has posted 0.9000 the question will be, can it stay here after 6 weeks of trading below this pivotal area. The New Zealand/Australia travel bubble is officially open where both countries have lifted the quarantine requirements on arrival. The Bubble will boost both economies. Tomorrow’s NZ CPI read before the Bank of Canada Policy Statement and Rate announcement is our focus.
Exchange Rates
Current Level: 0.9001
Resistance: 0.9140
Support: 0.8940
Last Weeks Range: 0.8812-0.9007

It was only 3 weeks ago we saw price fall from 0.8990 to 0.8730 in the New Zealand Dollar (NZD), Canadian Dollar (CAD) pair. This week we have seen almost the opposite action take place returning to 0.9000 early Friday. Record high US equities and broad based US selling have no doubt boosted the kiwi, especially post the dovish RBNZ read. The RBNZ left policy unchanged together with the Large Scale Asset Purchase program of up to $100B and the Funding for Lending Programme. The OCR will remain at the record low of 0.25% for some time. Next week’s NZ Q CPI and Canadian Monetary Policy Statement will be our focus.
Exchange Rates
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8987
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8804- 09004

A strong Canadian jobs data report Friday sent the cross to 0.8800 levels from midweek’s 0.8900 area when unemployment published at 7.5% in March from 8.2% in February. Expectations were 8.0% with figures coming in well under this reaching the lowest level since before the coronavirus pandemic began. The Canadian economy also added 303,000 jobs to their workforce tripling expectation of 100,000. Interestingly those who are collecting the CERB (emergency response benefit) are not being counted as unemployed. This scheme runs out in a few months. RBNZ announce their cash rate and monetary policy statement tomorrow with no expectations of any changes to the current bond-buying program.

Exchange Rates
Current Level: 0.8814
Resistance: 0.8880
Support: 0.8750
Last Weeks Range: 0.8797-0.8888

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) had a shocker in March dropping nearly 5% against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) ,its worst performance in many years. However, we have seen decent short rallies higher over the past 10 days or so with prices back around 0.8870 this morning reversing from the long term low at 0.8735. Crude prices slipped amid the Suez Canal container re-float causing punters to sell the Loonie (CAD). We see further upside developing but with Canadian unemployment releasing at the end of the week who knows.

Exchange Rates
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8876
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8798- 0.8882

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) opened Monday looking to continue its short move higher against the Canadian Dollar travelling to 0.8850, but was soon trending lower extending its March bear run from 0.9260 to 0.8815. NZ Building Consents for February plummeted, falling 18% bigger than the 5.0% we were expecting. This kiwi was put under pressure and could remain bearish over the week if market mood sours. Canadian GDP for January prints Thursday, we are expecting a reasonable uptick of 0.5% from December’s 0.1%
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8813
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8737- 0.8849

With no tier one data on the economic docket this week the pair was subjected to risk off demand with the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) depreciating against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) to 0.8755 from an 0.8950 open. Recent headline news of a Japanese container ship blocking the Suez Canal sent crude oil demand through the roof Thursday affecting supply chain concerns with around 50 vessels per day passing through the route. This accounts for around 12% of global trade or 10% of seabourne petroleum. Dislodging the giant 400M ship is proving extremely difficult. Price in the cross stabalised around 0.8770 early Friday.
Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8765
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8736- 0.8993

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) holds at the top of a 7-day range Monday around 0.8980 against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) coming off the opening price of 0.8940. Canadian Retail Sales released at -1.1% versus the expected -3.0% late Friday which bought CAD buyers back to the table on top of softer GDP data. The Westpac Consumer Confidence Index showed a drop to 105.2 for the March quarter down from 106.0 in December as consumers worry about the long-term economic picture. With vaccination rollouts not going to plan in Europe this could have an effect on crude demand and send the cross higher this week.

Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.8907
Resistance: 0.9100
Support: 0.8950
Last Weeks Range: 0.8922-0.9013

This week the New Zealand Dollar has held around the 0.8950 level against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) which is a good effort relative to the declines over previous weeks. With a high of 0.915 and a bounce off 0.8925 we haven’t seen a lot of excitement in the cross. Canadian CPI printed slightly below expectations at 0.5% prior to NZ GDP which was a reasonably benign read at -1.0% not affecting play much at all. GDP (4th Q) was a slight miss on the predicted 0.2% but after the whopping 13.0% in the third quarter the compilation of reliable data was sketchy. A daily close on the chart below 0.8900 levels is most likely to indicate a deeper decline in the kiwi.

Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8961
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8925- 0.9013

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) declined further against the Canadian Dollar (CAD, its third straight week of losses closing below the key 0.9000 level at 0.8960. Canadian unemployment figures surprised markets as 259,000 people were added to the workforce in February much higher than the 98,000 predicted. The Unemployment rate also came in at an incredible 8.2% following estimates of 9.2% and much lower than January’s 9.4%. This was no surprise to the Bank of Canada who have been talking up their economic prospects of late as a strong recovery from coronavirus is expected. Stock prices and crude oil have also given the loonie (CAD) a leg up of late. NZ 4th Q GDP prints Thursday with much interest.
Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.8984
Resistance: 0.9320
Support: 0.8920
Last Weeks Range: 0.8928-0.9110

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) came off 0.9002 early in the week against the Canadian Dollar to bounce back to 0.9110 levels Friday. The Bank of Canada held its cash rate at 0.25% Thursday, the central bank maintaining its forward guidance, reinforced by its massive QE program of at least 4B per week. The BoC said while the recovery improves it still requires extraordinary policy support. The bank remains committed to holding policy and interest rates low for an extended period. With the CPI target band at 1-3% and currently around the bottom, this should move higher over the coming months as commodity prices rise. Also, GDP growth in January this quarter is predicted to be a contraction. Canadian employment data prints tomorrow morning and should show a small drop in unemployment.
Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.9048
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.9008- 0.9111

After five months of higher highs posted by the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) to 0.9320 against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) the Loonie (CAD) has come storming back over the past two weeks to trade at 0.9020 Tuesday. Outperforming most major currencies with better than expected recent economic reads the CAD has seen high demand. Friday saw its strongest trade surplus since May 2019 as well as crude reaching fresh levels around 65.00. The Bank of Canada’s cash rate and monetary statement is Thursday with expectation they could start to taper their asset purchase programme after the recent period of sustained growth. Support is seen at 0.9000 the prior daily close from 19 January.
Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.9016
Resistance: 0.9150
Support: 8990
Last Weeks Range: 0.9039-0.9254

Early week dovish comments from RBNZ governor Orr hasn’t helped the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) this week sinking to 0.9140 levels against the Canadian Dollar (CAD). The loonie has also been propped up by massive shifts in crude oil prices – overnight rising over 5.0%. Six week daily support sits at 0.9120, a push through this level could signal further declines in the NZD. Next week’s Bank of Canada Statement and employment release will hold our attention.
Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.9181
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.9085- 0.9254

Rises in US yields and a recent round of weakness in equities played a part in the New Zealand Dollar weakness Friday dropping back to 0.9215 levels from 0.9330 late in the week against the Canadian Dollar (CAD). Canadian Manufacturing held steady early morning when figures showed a pick up in growth in February with factory orders underpinning strong interest for buyers of the Loonie. The bullish channel from the low of early November looks robust for now with 0.9140 offering support to the downside.
Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.9193
Resistance: 0.9300
Support: 0.9100
Last Weeks Range: 0.9172-0.9328

The early week risk on mood continued into Thursday trading taking the New Zealand Dollar (NZD), Canadian Dollar (CAD) cross to 0.9320 following an uptick in New Zealand’s Credit rating earlier in the week. Pushing past the previous March 2019 high, this is now an April 2018 level. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) left rates unchanged at 0.25% maintaining its stimulatory policy at 100B but with a less dovish review. The central bank must now include the impact of housing when making monetary decisions, this will make it harder for the RBNZ to maintain an accommodative policy. With rising yields and weaker equity markets overnight the pair has drifted back to 0.9280
Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.9271
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.9194- 0.9328

Last week’s risk-on mood continued into Monday in the New Zealand Dollar (NZD), Canadian Dollar (CAD) pair with price reaching 0.9260. This is the second time this year the cross has failed to kick on through this key area. It’s only a matter of time. The kiwi was the strongest currency Monday after S&P rating agency raised New Zealand’s credit rating from AA to AA+ citing the main reason being the speedy economic recovery amid the coronavirus pandemic. Recent downside pressures in the CAD have been magnified by soft Canadian Retail Sales and crude oil prices. Wednesday’s RBNZ meeting could be positive for the kiwi we expect 0.9280 to come into play.

Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.9235
Resistance: 0.9300
Support: 0.9100
Last Weeks Range: 0.9105-0.9260

The trend higher in the NZD/JPY pair has continued this week helped by generally positive risk sentiment. The cross traded to a high of 76.71 mid-week before a corrective pullback had it trading sub 76.00 again. That being said, key trend support around 75.60 has not been threatened and while the market holds above that support, the risks remain skewed toward further gains. Any break above 76.75 will open the way for a move to the next resistance level of 78.75. Look for next Wednesday’s RBNZ statement to provide the major focus for the week, and potential for some volatility.

Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.9150
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.9105 – 0.9187

The Canadian dollar (CAD) has outperformed the New Zealand dollar (CAD) over the past week, supported by strong oil prices, and some positive Canadian data. WTI crude is currently trading above $60 a barrel and with a nasty cold snap in the US seeing surging demand for energy, it looks well supported at this stage. On the economic front we have also seen better than expected manufacturing sales data from Canada, coming in at 0.9% vs 0.6% expected, along with a very strong housing starts number. In fact, January’s housing starts result was the second strongest January on record and there’s no doubt the Canadian housing market is fizzing at the moment. After twice trading above 0.9200 last week, the pair has quickly retraced back to the current level of 0.9140 and at this stage the risks look skewed toward further declines. The next key support level comes in around 0.9080 and we may well see that tested in the coming week or so.
Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.9139
Resistance: 0.9230
Support: 0.9080
Last Weeks Range: 0.9126-0.9232

The NZDCAD pair has spent the past two weeks trading sideways between support around 0.9130 and resistance around 0.9240. On a historical basis these are relatively elevated levels having only briefly traded high on a couple of occasions since March 2018. So clients looking to transfer NZD to CAD should not hesitate to lock in rates on anything around 0.9200 or higher. While we could easily see further attempts to rally, there is considerable resistance on the topside between 0.9240 and 0.9270 and we expect that zone to continue to cap the pair over the coming week.
Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.9185
Resistance: 0.9270
Support: 0.9130
Last Weeks Range: 0.9135-0.9237

Crude oil prices extended higher another day posting gains of over 2.50%, bringing back buyers into the Canadian Dollar (CAD). Price early week favoured the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) to 0.9215 with risk markets positive but recent action has taken the kiwi to 0.9150. The latest global dairy auction showed a rise of 1.8% in the price index marking the 6th consecutive auction on higher prices. With further US Dollar strength developing we could see a retest of the fortnightly low of 0.9130
Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.9194
Resistance: 0.9250
Support: 0.9130
Last Weeks Range: 0.9141-0.9217

A very thin calendar this week in the New Zealand Dollar (NZD), Canadian Dollar (CAD) pair has seen movement dominated by risk sentiment. An improvement in US jobless claims and a solid fourth quarter US GDP release saw investors bid up risk currencies and assets with US equity markets posting over 1.0% gains following the biggest one day drop since October. After the kiwi eased down to 0.9140 over the week it was back trading around 0.9200 levels early Friday. Canadian GDP for November releases tomorrow morning with a modest gain of 0.40% following 0.80% in October. Next week both NZ and Canadian jobs data releases.
Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.9200
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.9140- 0.9206

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) improved on the Canadian Dollar (CAD) Monday to 0.9180 extending last week’s run from 0.9045. The Bank of Canada maintained its lower band rate target of 0.25% saying no rate hikes until 2023 last week and said they would continue with QE to the tune of 4B CAD per week. The central bank upgraded their 2022 growth forecast from 3.7% to 4.8% with a caveat that they are under no illusions the first half of 2021 could be rough. However, with vaccines being rolled out and stimulus working its way through the economy the future looks good for the Canadians. The kiwi is making a bid for the yearly high at 0.9270.
Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.9169
Resistance: 0.9250
Support: 0.9030
Last Weeks Range: 0.9039-0.9178

After the New Zealand Dollar (NZD), Canadian Dollar (CAD) pair closed out the year around 0.9150 levels the kiwi regained early momentum reaching 0.9250 on the 6th of January. The kiwi failed to push into new ground however reversing gains into last week to 0.9080. Chinese GDP for the fourth quarter disappointed Monday coming in weaker than expected dragging risk currencies lower and the NZD to 0.9060 against the Loonie (CAD). This week’s calendar highlights are the Bank of Canada (BoC) rate and policy statement (no change expected) and NZ last quarter CPI- forecasted to print at 0.2%. Solid support in the cross at 0.9000 should hold.
Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.9077
Resistance: 0.9130
Support: 0.9050
Last Weeks Range: 0.9057-0.9196

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) perked up on Monday against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) to 0.9050 from 0.8980 before dropping back early Tuesday. Earlier Canadian Jobs data surprised to the upside when unemployment dropped from 9.0% to 8.5% while 62,000 people entered the workforce compared to 20,000 expected. Price came off 0.9150 Friday in a hurry as vaccines were announced and crude oil prices surged painting a brighter picture for the Canadian economy. Later this week we have Bank of Canada rate announcement and statement announcing which is unlikely to create any movement.
Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.8998
Resistance: 0.9150
Support: 0.8900
Last Weeks Range: 0.8987-0.9162

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) reached a new high Monday of 0.9150 against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) before easing back a little earlier today. Crude Oil headlines in Saudi Arabia that Mulls is quitting his role as co-chair of OPEC rallied the Loonie on the back of a general pull back of risk sentiment. Looking ahead to late in the week Canadian Unemployment prints and is expected to show a drop in the number of people filing for unemployment. The bull rally from 0.8730 at the start of November is well in play with expectations of further topside excitement to come. A pullback below 0.9050 could signal a new trend to the downside.
Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.9116
Resistance: 0.9240
Support: 0.9000
Last Weeks Range: 0.9045-0.9149

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) stretched its legs again this week against an underperforming Canadian Dollar (CAD) with price traveling to 0.9115 early Friday. This is the fourth week of the kiwi’s bull run from low from early November 0.8730. In letters exchanged early in the week by Reserve Bank Governor Orr and Finance Minister Robertson, Robertson asked Orr how rising housing prices could be included into the monetary policy mandate to stem the over inflated housing market. Orr response was a little prickly saying housing inflation was already factored into spending and CPI. The NZD spiked 60 points higher post the headline as it eyes up 0.9280 the April 2018 level.
Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.9119
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.9039- 0.9127

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) outperformed late Monday against the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) recovering early losses from 0.9100 to 0.9040 as Loonie (CAD) rose from risk on flow. The CAD advanced on the latest demand for Crude Oil as price reached 42.00 a barrel. It seems the most likely scenario as to why the CAD has pushed higher across the board will indicate its linked to US PMI data publishing significantly better than expected- Canada will benefit the most given the countries trade dependence on US markets. A drop below 0.9000 would signal a reversal of the current bullish trend.
Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.9056
Resistance: 0.9170
Support: 0.9020
Last Weeks Range: 0.9001-0.9099

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) maintained momentum this week appreciating against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) the 3rd straight week, rising to 0.9080 the highest level since March 2019 and also pushing past the previous mark of 0.9015 from late July. Canada’s coronavirus count is on the rise with health officials warning of spikes in Covid hospitalisations stressing already capacity health systems. On Nov 12th new restrictions in several states have prohibited businesses from selling non-essential items. A retest of 0.9230 has a better than reasonable probability in the coming days/weeks.
Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.9036
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8979- 0.9067

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) is unstoppable at the moment rallying against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) to 0.9030 Tuesday. Clearing the prior daily high at 0.8995 Monday the April 2019 high risk sentiment has supported the kiwi. Overnight Moderna headline news of their coronavirus vaccine being 94.5% effective in phase 3 of 30,000 participant trials boltered risk products and hope. The vaccine however for many people around the world this vaccine if successful will most likely not be available until late 2021. It’s a quiet week of data releases for the kiwi with just Canadian Retail Sales printing Thursday.
Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.9030
Resistance: 0.9160
Support: 0.8870
Last Weeks Range: 0.8859-0.9041

Investors exited the Loonie this week on broad based liquidation as news of the Canadian government may be forced to step up coronavirus restrictions on businesses. Equity markets were lower overnight taking crude oil with it. The RBNZ left the interest rate unchanged on Wednesday at 0.25% as well as the large asset purchases program. The committee agreed that additional stimulus would be provided through a “funding for Lending Program” (FLP) starting in December. This will allow the central bank to pass on cheap funding costs with lower interest rates to banks. Prospects that the RBNZ may not need to take interest rates into the negatives is a talking point, boosting the kiwi into the early 90’s – Friday trading a tad lower at 0.8985 but doing well to hold onto gains.
Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8983
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8828- 0.9029

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) has continued its upward beat against the Canadian Dollar Monday with price back at 0.8880 closing in on 8-week highs. A surge in risk appetite in the aftermath of the US election along with positive headlines in vaccines have kept the kiwi bid. Crude Oil is up a massive 8% in overnight trading also on the news of Covid vaccine hopes. The RBNZ Official Cash Rate and monetary policy statement is tomorrow with no expectation of a cut just yet. Adrian Orr is forecast to lay out more cheap lending to banks. We see strong resistance at 0.8920 on the chart- the kiwi could get close to this level over the week if positive risk sentiment continues.
Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.8873
Resistance: 0.8930
Support: 0.8780
Last Weeks Range: 0.8760-0.8883

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) has extended losses this week against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) to 0.8760 down from last week’s level of 0.8870. It’s going to be a wild week of event risk with a myriad of economic data releasing not to mention the US Election. Overnight strengthening Factory data in China bolstered investor mood. With Canada sending more than 75% of their exports to the US we could see the Loonie a little “election sensitive” over the coming days. NZ Unemployment data third quarter prints tomorrow and could strain the kiwi a tad with anything higher than 5.0%.
Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.8766
Resistance: 0.8870
Support: 0.8600
Last Weeks Range: 0.8762-0.8870

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) has extended gains through the week to a fresh high of 0.8870 against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) as risk markets supported the kiwi. The Bank of Canada left rates on hold as expected Thursday but went ahead lengthening the tenor bond purchases. This brought further selling of the Loonie as equity prices tapered off. The Central bank agreed to decrease the bond purchases from 5B per week to 4B with Macklem saying the CAD was stronger than the central bank had expected at this time based on earlier July projections. We expect further upside bias in the pair – possibly retesting 0.8950.
Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8820
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8774- 0.8871

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) has continued its bullish run against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) reaching 0.8835 Tuesday, up from last week’s low of 0.8630, a 2 cent move. Rent news out of Canada hasn’t been favourable for the Loonie with Manufacturing down, Retail Sales coming in at 0.4% based on 1.0% estimated for September and Crude Oil prices overnight taking a dive to 38.50 per barrel- down 3.20%. The Bank of Canada announce their cash rate and monetary statement Thursday morning before monthly GDP figures. We expect a return to 0.8920 the high of mid-September.
Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.8818
Resistance: 0.8930
Support: 0.8600
Last Weeks Range: 0.8628-0.8835

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) recovered hard off 0.8630 midweek against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) to shoot up to 0.8780 as risk mood improved and Canadian data disappointed. Canadian Retail Sales come in a poor 0.4% after 1.0% was predicted. Aussie CPI is next week along with the Bank of Canada rate statement and monetary policy release. Canadian CPI for the month of September released at -0.1% bang on expectations, except for a slip to -0.7% in April numbers we have seen CPI above zero over the past few months. The question is, is this a proper re-alignment of a deflationary cycle for the Canadian economy on the horizon. The good news is that year on year it improved to 0.5% up from 0.1% in August y/y. Is it time to reassess quantitative easing policy? Perhaps this is something needing attention as coronavirus worsens.
Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8762
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8626- 0.8782

Recent talk from the Bank of Canada’s Poloz has kept the Canadian Dollar (CAD) offered into this week with price up at 0.8760. Risk sentiment into Tuesday has however taken price back to 0.8710 with the kiwi selling off, after recent pessimistic prospects of a US fiscal deal being done together with Eli Lilly pharmaceutical company suspending coronavirus vaccine trials. Looking ahead to the end of the week we have Canadian monthly CPI and NZ quarterly CPI releasing. I doubt we will see too much downside this week with the kiwi, anything lower than 0.8680 would be a surprise.

Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.8690
Resistance: 0.8760
Support: 0.8680
Last Weeks Range: 0.8691-0.8780

Topside momentum for the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) through 0.8770 proved a step too far Thursday failing to break higher against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) with price back at 0.8710 early Friday. The Loonie is still riding off last week’s strong jobs numbers with unemployment tracking from August’s 10.2% to 9.0% in September showing what easing restrictions does to an economy. Bank of Canada’s Poloz spoke about low rates for a generation and new coronavirus restrictions in Quebec and Ontario may devalue the CAD for a few days. Support around 0.8600 should hold.

Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8721
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8696- 0.8778

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) has been supported in recent sessions by a pickup in global sentiment, rebound in oil prices and decent economic data. Price drifted off at the weekly outset from 0.8750 to 0.8710 looking bearish in early Tuesday sessions. The Canadian Unemployment number was exceptional, falling from August’s 10.2% to 9.0% in September showing how easing coronavirus restrictions for businesses and workplaces had improved the economic environment. The net change rose by 378,000 in September compared to forecasts of 156,000 which contributed to bringing down the unemployment rate. Nothing to highlight on the weekly calendar in the pair, suggesting direction should be governed by offshore political influences. Our prediction is for the kiwi to recover back to 0.8800.
Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.8716
Resistance:0.8780
Support: 0.8670
Last Weeks Range: 0.8671-0.8826

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) has fallen away sharply lower over the week to reach 0.8680 after starting out around the 0.8830 area against the Canadian Dollar (CAD). To be honest it’s a bit of a surprise to see the kiwi fall so far, risk sentiment hasn’t been all that good but generally the CAD has been boosted favorably in recent sessions on the recovery in sentiment, oil prices and Trudeau’s massive spending plan. Trudeau has managed to pass an economic plan to get through Canada through the second wave of coronavirus. We don’t expect the kiwi to dip much further this week, certainly support at 0.8600 should hold with the most likely scenario a reversal higher into the close.
Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8696
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8668- 0.8829

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) dropped back to around 0.8800 levels Monday against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) after crude oil jumped nearly 6% overnight to just under 40.00 a barrel. Usually positive risk sentiment supports the kiwi but not this time instead buyers were buying CAD after headline reports of President Trump’s positive health reports after contacting Covid-19. However this surge in oil values doesn’t report the whole story, with Canada’s oil industry feeling the effects of a global oil demand price slump with prices starting to decline on decreased demand due to the pandemic. Watch this space. I don’t think we will see much more downside bias this week, expectations of a recall to 0.8850 expected.

Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.8819
Resistance: 0.8920
Support: 0.8750
Last Weeks Range: 0.8755-0.8847

As global investor sentiment turned negative this week, we have seen a bout of “risk off” selling which has pressured the New Zealand dollar (NZD). Against the Canadian dollar (CAD), this has seen the kiwi decline from a high of 0.8937 late last week, to a low of 0.8726 last night. While there are no major signs at this stage the selloff is done, the pair has reached a significant support zone and coupled with the size of the decline seen this week, I would argue that a period of consolidation, or even a small corrective bounce, seems likely. Clients looking to convert CAD to NZD should look to take advantage of the current level and look to lock a rate in.

Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8748
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8729 – 0.8937

The risk correlated New Zealand Dollar (NZD) fell from 0.8920 levels Monday against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) to bottom out at 0.8850 before returning to 0.8770 during early Tuesday trading. Amid the falls, crude oil prices have slid lower -4.0% overnight as Libya restarts production adding to an oversupplied market. This may have helped the Loonie from being oversold, stopping the downward spiral of the CAD. This week’s RBNZ announcement is our focus with talk on negative rates bound to be discussed. Predicted direction: retest of 0.8830.

Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.8868
Resistance: 0.8940
Support: 0.8850
Last Weeks Range: 0.8807-0.8839

After sideways movement last week in the Canadian Dollar (CAD), New Zealand Dollar (NZD) cross, this week has seen the return of recent NZD form with price action rising through resistance at 0.8860 to reach 0.8900 Friday. Down around 0.8730 mid last week the NZD has fallen back in line with the long term bull channel from the low of 0.8570. The New Zealand economy entered a recession this week when second quarter GDP printed at -12.2% in line with wider predictions. This marks by far the worst quarter on record. Next week the kiwi could target the prior high at 0.9000 the April 2019 high.
Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8909
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8774- 0.8910

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) has rallied off the open surging to 0.8848 against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) recovering well from last week’s low of 0.8740. The central bank of Canada left rates unchanged last week at 0.25% saying it’s the biggest global slowdown since the great depression. The bank will hold rates low for some time at the effective lower band until the 2.0% inflation target is sustained. Risk sentiment has supported the kiwi as equities fly high again, the Nasdaq up over 2.0% overnight. The cross looks on target to meet 0.9000 if this week’s second quarter GDP comes in lower than the predicted -12.5%. All eyes will be on this release Thursday 10.45am NZT.
Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.8813
Resistance: 0.8860
Support: 0.8750
Last Weeks Range: 0.8738-0.8848

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD), Canadian Dollar (CAD) cross hasn’t done much over the week sticking close to the opening price Friday of 0.8750 levels. The Bank of Canada left rates unchanged this week at their scheduled rate announcement and policy read. The Bank of Canada saying it’s the biggest global slowdown since the great depression. Recent policy has been maintained with the continuation of 5B of large scale assets purchases per week. We think risk will deteriorate into the weekly close giving the pair a downward bias.
Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8773
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8736- 0.8816

Thursday’s Bank of Canada rate announcement and statement will be the focus this week in the New Zealand Dollar (NZD), Canadian Dollar (CAD) pair. No change is expected from the 0.25% with no real change to current policy anticipated. Most discussion will be based on talk about the recovery and economic outlook over the coming months. Risk sentiment took a hit late last week with equity markets deteriorating sending the kiwi lower into Tuesday to 0.8755. Depending on the BoC comments we expect the kiwi to make a charge for last week’s high of 0.8870.
Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.8767
Resistance: 0.8900
Support: 0.8680
Last Weeks Range: 0.8752-0.8867

Price in the Canadian Dollar (CAD), New Zealand Dollar (NZD) pair traded into Friday around 0.8800 levels just shy of the weekly open of 0.8830. The kiwi briefly travelled to 0.8870 midweek but has been sold off in the last few sessions, in all an eventful week.The RBNZ Wednesday signalled no sign of concern for the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) being overvalued and started conversations around prospects of loosening monetary policy into negative rates in efforts to ward off low inflation. Orr saying “the best contribution we can make to financial stability is to ensure we head off unnecessarily low inflation or deflation”. Markets await tonight Canadian Unemployment Rate.
Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8795
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8707- 0.8867

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) rebounded off recent lows of 0.8580 to surge back above 0.8800 into Monday against the Canadian Dollar (CAD). Canadian GDP posted a healthy gain in June of 6.5% following a 4.8% increase in May, the biggest increase since 1961 although these two months have offset declines over April and May. ANZ Business Confidence dipped yesterday as the business outlook slipped in August based on further coronavirus Auckland lockdowns. Direction for the week: Retest of 0.9000.
Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.8786
Resistance: 0.8900
Support: 0.8600
Last Weeks Range: 0.8608-0.8835

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) extended gains into Friday sessions against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) with risk sentiment improving. We mentioned earlier that a trend reversal would only be confirmed by bullish action through 0.8680. This has happened as the bear channel from 0.9000 has ended. Canadian GDP for June prints tonight with expectations of 5.2% growth following May’s 4.5%. Surely if the result is positive we should see a shift back in CAD favour before the weekly close? Next week’s attention lies with Canadian employment.
Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8725
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8589- 0.8748

Late last week the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) recovered off early June 2020 lows at 0.8575 against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) to 0.8620. Monday’s NZ Retail Sales came in slightly up on expectation for the June quarter at -14.6% compared to -16.3%. Markets were not fooled- this is a terrible result. It’s clear to see that retailers have really struggled through coronavirus. It’s not clear yet if this small kiwi bounce is confirmation of a trend reversal, we would need a breakout of the current bearish channel to 0.8680. No data releasing this week for this cross. Expected direction: neutral.
Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.8635
Resistance: 0.8670
Support: 0.8570
Last Weeks Range: 0.8576-0.8746

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) recovered some of the recent week’s losses to 0.8750 midweek against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) but this wasn’t to last. Canadian Non-Farm Payroll Employment increased by 1.14M for July slightly better than June numbers but significantly improved on prior months from the economic fallout from coronavirus. This boosted the Loonie along with a slump in mood sentiment with the print of US weekly Jobs data coming in lower than predicted. The kiwi slumping to a 2 June low. Next week’s economic docket with NZ Retail Sales and Canadian GDP m/m should make for another volatile trading time.
Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8605
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8575- 0.8744

After a massive week of falls for the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) vs the Canadian Dollar (CAD) dipping from 0.8830 levels to 0.8670 at the close, the kiwi has consolidated somewhat this week around 0.8660. The dovish RBNZ continues to pressure the kiwis however in a thin week of data. Further drops in price were netted by the PBOC raising liquidity to their banking system overnight boosting risk markets. Directional view this week: recovery for the NZD through 0.8700.

Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.8653
Resistance: 0.8720
Support: 0.8625
Last Weeks Range: 0.8627-0.8828

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) has had its best run in months against the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) the kiwi getting hit hard to the 0.8650 area. The NZD was double teamed with a combination of a dovish RBNZ and rising crude oil prices. The RBNZ was predictably dovish retaining their cash rate at 0.25% but raising their asset purchase program from 60B to 100B to flood markets with cheap funding. Looking forward to next week- data is thin on the calendar with only Canadian Retail Sales. Expect profit taking on short positions with a run up to 0.8750 in the coming sessions.

Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8645
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8643- 0.8846

As parts of the Canadian economy were allowed to re-open amid coronavirus, Canadian Employment data has shown resilience to the Canadian economy by releasing great numbers. Canadian employment improved with 418,000 people returning to the workforce in July and the unemployment rate ticked lower to 10.9% (expectation 11.1%) from 12.3% in June. Price in the pair came off a high Friday of 0.8920 sinking to 0.8790 into Tuesday. With restrictions being substantially eased in most parts of Canada businesses and workplaces have been able regain the economic momentum seen earlier in the year. This week’s main event is the RBNZ cash rate and statement, we expect much of the same, with comments around the possibility of bringing in negative rates down the track. This week’s expected direction: Retest support at 0.8700.

Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.8793
Resistance: 0.9000
Support: 0.8680
Last Weeks Range: 0.8785-0.8914

Overnight the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) bounced hard off support at the 0.8800 level against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) as risk favoured the kiwi and it flew to 0.8900 Friday. After breaking lower midweek through 5-week support at 0.8850 to go just under the 0.8800 mark the NZD has re-traced all its losses over the last 12 hours of trading. With Canadian employment to come tonight which is expected to come in around 11.0% for July after 12.3% in June we can expect further fireworks.

Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8896
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8797- 0.8960

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) briefly reached 0.9000 late Friday against the Canadian Dollar (CAD), the April 2019 high, before reversing sharply lower. Canadian GDP m/m for May printed at the end of the week swiftly propping up the Loonie as figures published better than markets were expecting at 4.5% vs 3.5%. The news comes after two very poor months – March and April, and although the number is extremely positive reflecting perhaps the start of an economic recovery we need to remember the economy is still 15% below February’s pre- Covid levels and has a way to go yet. Later in the week Canadian unemployment figures are expected to rise beyond July’s 12.3% and possible knock back recent CAD momentum. Weekly expected direction: higher from 0.8830
Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.8857
Resistance: 0.9000
Support: 0.8800
Last Weeks Range: 0.8830-0.9010

Further weakness in the Canadian Dollar (CAD) this week against the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) pushed price to new highs, trading just below the key 0.9000 level to 0.8995 before dipping to 0.8975. Clearing the prior daily high of 0.8940 could ultimately confirm we see further moves higher, certainly with the 20 days moving average below price the trend is north yet. Obviously, a fantastic time to buy CAD. Next week’s NZ and Canadian employment figures and unemployment rate is the key attention.
Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8980
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8858- 0.8995

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) has come off last week’s high of 0.8980, an April 2019 level, against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) to close the week out around the 0.8900 mark. Monday has seen further selling of the Loonie with price retesting 0.8900 briefly. The cross looks to be in the throes of another breakout higher but this will depend on any continuation in risk appetite. Canadian GDP data for the second quarter could stall further upside moves when it releases at the end of the week for May (expectation of 3.3% vs -11.6% for April) if the release number is positive.
Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.8930
Resistance: 0.9000
Support: 0.8800
Last Weeks Range: 0.8875-0.8979

With nothing on the New Zealand Calendar the week movement will be mostly influenced by “risk” flow. Currently hovering around the 0.8900 area. The Canadian Dollar(CAD) hasn’t really moved post the Bank of Canada rate fix and monetary policy last week after signalling they would be leaving the rate at 0.25% until at least 2023 and employment returns to post covid levels. We may see the Loonie pick up the pace if Crude prices continue to improve. Canadian Retail Sales prints tomorrow the only highlight and could shift price around if we don’t see a significant rebound in May’s release.
Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.8896
Resistance: 0.8930
Support: 0.8850
Last Weeks Range: 0.8843-0.8928

NZ CPI releases a little firmer but never really factored into price action in the New Zealand Dollar (NZD), Canadian Dollar (CAD) pair. The Bank of Canada (CAD) held their benchmark rate at 0.25% and signalled they won’t be raising rates again until at least 2023 until employment returns to pre-covid levels. The central bank governor Macklem labelled the economic recovery a “long climb back”. The loonie (CAD) has been well supported this week with price back under 0.8900 levels. The price of crude is assisting as it clocked 41.00 per barrel earlier today. Next week’s Canadian Retail Sales may not look too pretty which could push the pair to retest the 0.9000 level.
Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8880
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8843- 0.8938

Monday demand for the Loonie has taken the price from 0.8940 levels to 0.8890 perhaps on the back of better than expected Canadian jobs numbers. Canadian Unemployment Saturday released well with 952,000 people re-joining the labour force in June. The Unemployment Rate was a touch higher at 12.3% from May’s 12.0%. Thursday’s Bank of Canada Rate announcement is the focus this week along with NZ CPI for the second quarter. Just off recent highs we expect the cross to break into new ground keeping ahead of the 20-day moving average.

Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.8888
Resistance: 0.8950
Support: 0.8870
Last Weeks Range: 0.8848-0.8948

Crude Oil recovery has broadly improved the Canadian Dollar (CAD) over the week but as New Zealand Dollar (NZD) has outperformed. Price jumped early pushing through 0.8820 resistance as we saw a break higher into Friday to 0.8930. We are now into mid 2019 levels with the next daily target at 0.9230 coming into view. Focus now is with Canadian Unemployment figures with the unemployment rate expected to drop to 12.5% for June from May’s 13.7%. Next week is the Bank of Canada policy Report and Rate Statement.

Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8904
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8845- 0.8928

After 3 weeks of consolidation around 0.8750 the New Zealand Dollar (NZD), pushed through resistance at 0.8800 to reach 0.8880 into the Tuesday NZ trading session. The Bank of Canada Business Outlook Survey fell to its lowest reading since the 2008 GFC as sales slow and uncertainty of the future weighs heavily. This and a fresh bout of positive risk mood could push the pair higher in the coming sessions. The focus now is on Canadian unemployment figures with the unemployment rate expected to drop to 12.5% for June from May’s 13.7%
Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.8879
Resistance: 0.8950
Support: 0.8815
Last Weeks Range: 0.8745-0.8865

After three weeks of sideways movement in the Canadian Dollar (CAD), New Zealand Dollar (NZD) cross we have seen a break through resistance at 0.8800 to 0.8875 into Thursday. Momentum into Friday was lost however with price falling back to 0.8830 levels. The recent Standard and Poor’s rating of 2020 Canadian GDP falling 5.9% versus prior estimates at 5.3% took the wind out of the sails of the Lonnie during the week with clearly more gradual recovery forecast. Setbacks could be well supported at 0.8800 with another leg higher in the kiwi the likely scenario.
Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8830
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8746- 0.8875

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) sits just off the recent highs at 0.8780 into Tuesday its fourth week on consolidation. Downside risks are well supported at 0.8720 especially with Crude prices on the back foot affecting the latest selloff in the Canadian Dollar (CAD). Topside bias is preferred, especially if price makes a break past key resistance at 0.8820. Canadian GDP for April prints tomorrow and is expected to come in at -10.5% following poor March figures at -7.2%
Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.8770
Resistance: 0.8800
Support: 0.8700
Last Weeks Range: 0.8713-0.8820

Markets opened the week in a positive mood taking risk currencies higher off the back of a better coronavirus outlook. The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) rose to 0.8780 against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) assisted by equities and pre- RBNZ meeting. Investors are predicting a dovish slant to the RBNZ statement with the cash rate to remain unchanged at 0.25%. Perhaps this is tied to expectations that the RBNZ won’t increase its QE program past 60B. We expect topside to be limited to around 0.8800 levels the upper band over the past two weeks, with a possibility we could see 0.8700 this week.
Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.8750
Resistance:0.8800
Support: 0.8660
Last Weeks Range: 0.8686-0.8798

After reaching 0.8785 early in the week the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) failed to push into new territory against the Canadian Dollar. Most of the movement has been pivoted around 0.8750 over the last two weeks. NZ GDP failed to impress yesterday printing at -1.6% for the first quarter taking the kiwi lower to 0.8710. Canadian Retail Sales for May releases towards the end of the week and is expected to show a decline of -15.0% after the -10.0% for April numbers. We may see a return to the top of the current band around 0.8800 heading into the close.
Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8726
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8712- 0.8797

With the latest round of risk off flow we have seen some selling in the Canadian Dollar (CAD) with the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) reaching 0.8785 into Tuesday morning. In the aftermath of the Fed decision and renewed concerns around coronavirus the Loonie (CAD) is out of favour. Looking ahead we have NZ quarterly GDP and Canadian Retail Sales for April. 0.8800 is the high from July 2019- we could see a bounce lower off this level.
Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.8776
Resistance: 0.8800
Support: 0.8720
Last Weeks Range: 0.8711-0.8798

With only ANZ Business Confidence to digest on the data front this week the Canadian Dollar (CAD), New Zealand Dollar (NZD) cross has drifted around the 0.8450 zone with not a lot of excitement. Crude Oil came off over 7.0% last night as sentiment shifted to “risk off’ – this could support the kiwi over the next few sessions heading into the weekend especially after a gloomy Fed decision. We still think the kiwi should revisit 0.8800 the July 2019 level once things calm.
Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8743
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8714- 0.8790

After falling back to around 0.8730 at the close the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) has regained an edge to push back to last week’s high of 0.8780 against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) Tuesday. It’s a very quiet week of tier one data releases with just ANZ Business Confidence publishing later today with an improvement expected on the previous 2 months of readings by manufacturers and retailers etc now that the economy has no coronavirus restrictions in place. A weekly close above 0.8760 could imply further moves higher for the kiwi with sights then set on the 0.8830 target.
Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.8760
Resistance: 0.8800
Support: 0.8700
Last Weeks Range: 0.8482-0.8791

The New Zealand Dollar broke from recent ranges against the Canadian Dollar reaching 0.8605 early Tuesday. It’s still very much “risk” correlated conditions out there supporting the kiwi as it climbs higher and higher across the board. Crude prices continue to rise to 37.00 at the NY close this morning with crude inventories increasing by 15M barrels last week. Tomorrow’s Bank of Canada rate announcement and statement may bring on fresh volatility if we see any shifts to their forward guidance.

Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.8661
Resistance: 0.8780
Support: 0.8660
Last Weeks Range: 0.8482-0.8655

The Canadian Dollar (CAD), New Zealand Dollar (NZD) remains volatile and shifty with Crude Oil Prices driving mood in the Loonie. Price sits at the weekly open Friday at 0.8535 with a bias to edge higher. We did see 0.8595 momentarily midweek the 12 March high but this didn’t stick. Canadian GDP for the first quarter prints tomorrow – given its mostly pre coronavirus times the release may not gather any special attention.

Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8534
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8485- 0.8593

A sharp reversal in the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) at the weekly open saw price turn bullish against the Canadian Dollar (CAD), push up from 0.8370 to just off the weekly high of 0.8550 into Friday. The kiwi now eyes the prior daily close at 0.8560 and could retest this area if quarterly NZ Retail Sales prints well today. Canadian GDP for April the focus on next week’s calendar could undermine further support for the Loonie. Certainly, if Crude Oil starts to decline in the coming sessions we could see a fresh wave north in the cross.
Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8535
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8357- 0.8550

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) fell over 200 points or roughly 2% against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) last week to reach 0.8350 at the close. Monday trading has seen risk sentiment improve with buyers back supporting the kiwi with price around 0.8420. It’s a holiday in Canada today with focus on Thursday’s Canadian CPI and Friday’s NZ Retail Sales. Price Tuesday is back around the 50-day moving average, a break though 0.8440 should see further upside in the pair develop.
Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.8414
Resistance: 0.8480
Support: 0.8350
Last Weeks Range: 0.8344-0.8570

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) fell from 0.8550 to 0.8450 Wednesday against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) following the RBNZ monetary statement and rate release. Governor Orr increased the QE package to 60B which was not unexpected but as he spoke about the possibility of negative interest rates towards the end of the year, this was seen as a dovish position to markets sending the kiwi lower. Crude Oil continues its bullish run to 27.50 per barrel and has also supported the Loonie (CAD) well. Price into Friday continues to dive as we test 0.8400. Drops could be limited below 0.8370 support.
Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8427
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8396- 0.8570

The New Zealand Dollar closed the week near its recent highs at 0.8550 against the Canadian Dollar but has failed to hold onto gains Monday. Coming off a solid week, the Oil recovery and a better than expected Jobs report the Loonie (CAD) hit back sending price down to 0.8490 into Tuesday trading. Tomorrow’s RBNZ policy announcement is the focus with expectations they will expand the current QE program for kiwis. We may just see the NZD weaken off a little in the coming days.

Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.8514
Resistance: 0.8570
Support: 0.8500
Last Weeks Range: 0.8460-0.8568

The Canadian Dollar (CAD), New Zealand Dollar (NZD) pair continues to trade sideways and looks like an ECG chart- pivoting around the 0.8520 area. NZ unemployment jumped a modest 5,000 in the March quarter to take the unemployment rate to 4.2% from 4.0% slightly better than the expected 4.4%. Clearly these first quarter figures only partially reflect the overall economic fallout from coronavirus with expectations of employment and growth to rise significantly over the second and third periods. Crude Oil rose 10 % yesterday on the news Saudi Arabia had stepped in to prop up the recovery in oil prices for its customers worldwide. This is the first time since the start of the price war saying-they will do whatever it takes to support the oil recovery. This should support price stability in the Loonie (CAD) following the news.

Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8512
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8461- 0.8550

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD), Canadian Dollar (CAD) pair continues to knock around recent ranges of the past 3 weeks as volatility in the Loonie (CAD) pushes price around. Oil prices collapsed again Monday with price around the 12.00 per barrel on fears of storage issues and volatility in the June contract. A large buyer pulled out from the June futures contract choosing to look at more longer term options. Crude oversupply has soured to more than 2M barrels in April the highest it’s been since 2018, one of the reasons being the very low gasoline consumption caused by Covid-19 travel restrictions. Price pushed up from pivotal Fibonacci levels as we mentioned in an earlier commentary, we look for a retest of 0.8540.
Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.8496
Resistance: 0.8550
Support: 0.8430
Last Weeks Range: 0.8388-0.8553

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD), Canadian Dollar (CAD) pair continues to knock around recent ranges of the past 3 weeks as volatility in the Loonie (CAD) pushes price around. Oil prices collapsed again Monday with price around the 12.00 per barrel on fears of storage issues and volatility in the June contract. A large buyer pulled out from the June futures contract choosing to look at more longer term options. Crude oversupply has soured to more than 2M barrels in April the highest it’s been since 2018, one of the reasons being the very low gasoline consumption caused by Covid-19 travel restrictions. Price pushed up from pivotal Fibonacci levels as we mentioned in an earlier commentary, we look for a retest of 0.8540.
Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.8496
Resistance: 0.8550
Support: 0.8430
Last Weeks Range: 0.8388-0.8553

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD), Canadian Dollar (CAD) trades around the weekly open of 0.5450 after another volatile week of movement. In fact it’s a dog’s breakfast. Early in the week the pair bounced off the prior high of 0.8555 as crude prices recovered. With the Crude price back at 16.87 at the NY close analysts are not calling this a recovery, but more of a breather with prices expected to go lower again as coronavirus worsens. The June futures contract surged 19% as President Trump ordered Iranian boats to be shot down if they hassle American ships. Unless oil production is cut, the limited capacity to store oil is likely to continue to pressure prices and the Loonie. Fibonacci support is at 0.8380 the 50% retracement of the yearly high and low- look for price in the cross to push higher.
Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8432
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8389- 0.8553

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) trades higher into Tuesday with lockdown measures in New Zealand announced to be relaxed to level 3 from the 27th of April. Boosted by virus transmission rates being very low at 0.48 per person and testing numbers being one of the highest per capita in the world the kiwi has pushed higher to 0.8540 against the Canadian Dollar (CAD). Coming out of lockdown China has been stockpiling oil buying ultra-cheap crude from Alaska, Canada and Brazil with non-existent demand elsewhere. The by-product of this is the price sinking to below zero closing at -23.00 per barrel overnight and taking the Loonie lower across the board. Breaking above the March 20 high we see a continuation of this bullish move to 0.8620
Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.8504
Resistance: 0.8600
Support: 0.8400
Last Weeks Range: 0.8369-0.8554

After the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) recovered off the 0.8270 low last week against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) the pair has consolidated around 0.8480 levels. This has been a little surprising given the dire employment numbers to print out of Canada. 1Million lost their jobs in March way more than the 427k expected by analysts. The unemployment rate also jumped from 7.4% to 7.8% reflecting massive layoffs as a result of the economic fallout from coronavirus. The Bank of Canada release their rate and statement tomorrow with no change from the 0.25% expected. We expect the kiwi to push higher to retest the four week high at 0.8545.
Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8445
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8339- 0.8516

Big sweeping shifts seen in the past few weeks in the Canadian Dollar (CAD), New Zealand Dollar (NZD) pair have gone for the moment, replaced by rangy trading around 0.82500- 0.8400 areas. Overnight sessions pushed the kiwi higher as risk sentiment improved to 0.8420. Also of note is the large sell off in Crude Oil to 26.25 down 13% overnight not doing the Loonie (CAD) any favours. Record low prices for Canada’s oil together with record decline in oil demand almost exclusively in the export market to the US, oil prices in Alberta have slumped so low that a barrel of crude now costs less than the cost to ship it. To make matters worse the US don’t need it anyway with stay home orders massively affecting demand. A retest of the previous high at 0.8540 is on the cards.

Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.8376
Resistance: 0.8530
Support: 0.8260
Last Weeks range:0.8267-0.8555

Price in the New Zealand Dollar (NZD), Canadian Dollar (CAD) pair extended off last week’s bullish run from 0.8100 levels into Tuesday to 0.8505. The bank of Canada cut rates to 0.25% in an emergency meeting Friday from 0.75% with the central bank saying they would start its first ever QE program. Crude Oil balances just above the $20.00 per barrel mark with analysts expecting the price to go much lower in the coming weeks as production increases. This in turn could see the kiwi outperform to back around 0.8750 levels – the 2020 high.

Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.8532
Resistance: 0.8700
Support: 0.8350
Last Weeks range:0.8222-0.8533

Crude Oil prices continue to deteriorate taking the Canadian Dollar (CAD) lower. The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) recovered off last week’s low of 0.8015 back to 0.8300 into Tuesday. The purchase of 30B of government bonds by the RBNZ boosted demand for the kiwi consolidating around 0.8250 from virus intensity. We suggest as price tracks the 20 days moving average we could see a retrace back to 0.8100 this week. Crude depreciation has affected the demise of the CAD this month but with risk sentiment at an all time low caused by coronavirus the kiwi will continue to underperform and will continue to drop to fresh lows for some time to come.

Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.8327
Resistance: 0.8460
Support: 0.8100
Last Weeks range:0.8018-0.8539

Crude Oil prices continue to deteriorate taking the Canadian Dollar (CAD) lower. The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) recovered off last week’s low of 0.8015 back to 0.8300 into Tuesday. The purchase of 30B of government bonds by the RBNZ boosted demand for the kiwi consolidating around 0.8250 from virus intensity. We suggest as price tracks the 20 days moving average we could see a retrace back to 0.8100 this week. Crude depreciation has affected the demise of the CAD this month but with risk sentiment at an all time low caused by coronavirus the kiwi will continue to underperform and will continue to drop to fresh lows for some time to come.

Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.8327
Resistance: 0.8460
Support: 0.8100
Last Weeks range:0.8018-0.8539

Trading into Friday in the New Zealand Dollar (NZD), Canadian Dollar (CAD) pair sees price trade just off its weekly open of 0.8370 at 0.8300. Yesterday’s massive risk off move saw the kiwi sold to 0.8015 but recover to 0.8520 after PM Ardern officially closed the NZ borders to everyone except non-residents. The massive rally back by the kiwi or 5 cent move in a single trading session hasn’t happened since the last blue moon. Crude oil depreciation has affected the demise of the CAD this month but with risk sentiment at an all time low caused by coronavirus the kiwi has underperformed and will continue to drop to fresh lows for some time to come.

Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8297
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8019- 0.8565

Huge volatility in the Canadian Dollar (CAD), New Zealand Dollar (NZD) pair remains into Tuesday with price falling to 0.8270 post the weekly open and rising to 0.8560. The kiwi dropped to multi year lows on the surprise 0.75% cut from the RBNZ before recovering. We have NZ fourth quarter GDP Thursday which is expected to come in around 0.5% but will be largely ignored because so much has changed economically over the past month. The volatility in the price of oil will continue to affect the Loonie. Core Retail Sales prints later in the week.

Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.8470
Resistance: 0.8700
Support: 0.8300
Last Weeks Range: 0.8287-0.8703

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) finally succumbed to global pressures overnight dropping in value across the board and hitting a low of 0.8445 against the Canadian Dollar (CAD). Initially recovering well after the early week “flash crash” to 0.8720 levels the kiwi deteriorated as investors exited risk positions. The volatility in the price of oil is still swinging the Loonie to all corners, with the price of Crude dropping again overnight over 4% to 31.00 per barrel. Risks in the pair are still skewed to the downside.

Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8525
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8307- 0.8725

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) unwound a years’ worth of losses against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) yesterday. Initially falling to 0.8370 in a “flash crash” one off event as coronavirus and more importantly Crude Oil slumping to historic lows. OPEC had proposed to slash production by 1.5M barrels per day to alleviate demand. Russia rejected the proposal and when talks broke down Saudi Arabia announced massive discounted prices and raised production by 10M barrels per day. The crude price since has fallen over 21% to around 30.00 per barrel and taken the Canadian Dollar (CAD) with it. The cross travelling back to post crash levels to reach 0.8720 early Jan 2020 levels Tuesday.
Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.8646
Resistance: 0.8740
Support:0.8530
Last Weeks Range: 0.8370-0.8734

Prime Minister Ardern said the impact from Covid-19 is likely to inflict significant damage to the NZ economy but not necessarily long term. Define long term please. The NZ economy could be facing a recession in the coming months unless the virus is quickly controlled. The kiwi has pushed up from last week’s low of 0.8310 during the week to trade around the 0.8450 mark midday Friday. The Bank of Canada (BoC) delivered a 50 point rate cut taking their benchmark rate from 1.75% to 1.25%- the lowest level since mid 2018, in direct response to stimulate growth from the fallout from coronavirus. Along with equity markets taking large losses in the past 24 hours, Crude Oil is down over 3.0% dragging the Loonie (CAD) with it off a weekly high of 0.8487. A little surprised to see the kiwi do so well this week so our prediction is for the pair to drift lower back to previous lows.
Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8453
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8302- 0.8486

It’s been a volatile week of trading in the New Zealand Dollar (NZD), Canadian Dollar (CAD) pair with price moving higher to 0.8445 off the open, then reversing to 0.8370 and back Friday. ANZ NZ Business Confidence was softer declining the kiwi into Friday. During the overnight sessions Crude Oil has been driven lower 3% turning the Loonie offered. Price around 0.8450 represents better value for CAD buyers as downside bias remains hinged to coronavirus headlines.

Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8439
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8363- 0.8461

Its raining fresh yearly lows this week already and it’s only Tuesday. The Canadian Dollar (CAD), New Zealand Dollar (NZD) cross broke through 0.8400 support to post an early November 2019 low of 0.8352 before staging a small recovery into Tuesday. Trading back at 0.8430 largely based on falls in Crude Oil overnight down over 4% this could be a good opportunity for buyers of CAD to lock something in before we see the return of a bearish mood in the pair continue. Looking ahead we have Canadian Current Account and m/m GDP for December 2019 which could greatly impact price

Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.8424
Resistance: 0.8550
Support: 0.8350
Last Weeks Range: 0.8352-0.8525

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) extended its decline against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) down to 0.8390 a fresh yearly low. The NZD has fallen against the CAD four straight weeks in a general risk off theme concerning coronavirus fears. On the back of decent rises in crude oil we have seen the Loonie (CAD) push higher. Yearly inflation also surprised coming in higher than expected rising 2.4% on the year to January up from 2.2% in December. We had no data out this week in NZ but its notable the recent upbeat comments from Adrian Ore haven’t had much of an effect on the kiwi. Long term support stands at 0.8280 not far away.

Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8391
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8383- 0.8541

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) continues to lose ground against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) falling to 0.8490 the yearly low before bouncing higher to 0.8520 early today. The NZD has fallen against the CAD for three straight weeks in a general risk off theme concerning coronavirus. No data this week in NZ sees just Canadian monthly CPI for December and Retail Sales Friday holding attention. Meanwhile Trudeau said “the government will do everything it can to resolve ongoing protests of the Central Coastal pipeline”. We need to see a breakthrough 0.8600 levels to confirm the end of recent bearish momentum.

Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.8516
Resistancee: 0.8540
Support: 0.8480
Last weeks Range: 0.8489-0.8606

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) fell to a yearly low of 0.8487 early this week against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) as risk markets faltered on coronavirus fears. Further declines were halted when the RBNZ announced they were changing monetary policy from a dovish bias to a neutral tone. The cash rate remained unchanged at 1.0% but with Ore confirming they would not be cutting rates for the remainder of 2020 this spiked the kiwi to just over the 0.8600 level. Price dropped back to 0.8540 early Friday after the Bank of Canada governor Poloz said in his speech – “the Canadian economy is in a pretty good place”. As long as coronavirus is contained we might see a further push higher in the pair.

Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8539
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8487- 0.8606

After a week of New Zealand Dollar (NZD) depreciation against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) to a yearly low of 0.8540 the kiwi fought back to trade at 0.8600 into Tuesday. We have seen a small shift to risk sentiment this week with the Chinese Government reporting they will inject 174B USD into the markets to boost liquidity as the coronavirus dents economic activity. NZ Employment data prints tomorrow before Canadian employment is published Friday.

Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.8576
Resistance: 0.8615
Support: 0.8540
Last Weeks Range: 0.8541-0.8634

Even though the Canadian Dollar (CAD) has been struggling of late against the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) amid a recent downbeat Bank of Canada, the CAD put 1.0% on the kiwi this week dragging it down to 0.8570 Friday as risk markets sought the Loonie. Investors have been risk averse in line with the scary outbreak of coronavirus sending the kiwi to a 2020 low this week. We see daily support around the 0.8530 area. Next week’s NZ and Canadian employment data should give plenty of volatility in the cross.

Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8564
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8561- 0.8674

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) held its ground late last week climbing to 0.8690 against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) as market fears of coronavirus spreading entered the fold. Monday’s open gaped the NZD down to 0.8650 with more virus headlines and as we considered a full blown risk off event, the kiwi was down at 0.8625 super quick. The Canadian Central Bank maintained the 1.75% rate last week with the Canadian economy resilient of late, but recent activity suggests growth in the medium term could be soft. Virus headlines regarding the out of control coronavirus should have further impact on the NZDCAD this week along with monthly Canadian GDP Friday.

Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.8624
Resistance: 0.8700
Support: 0.8600
Last Weeks Range: 0.8611-0.8699

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) moved lower to 0.8600 against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) off the weekly open, the CAD still favoured after well received Canadian Job’s data late last week. However, the CAD has been unable to maintain its momentum into Wednesday, the kiwi recovering recent losses trading back to 0.8690. A sharp pullback in Crude Oil has also been an offsetting factor. Friday’s price fell back to 0.8660. Next week’s Bank of Canada cash rate announcement now holds focus.

Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8649
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8607- 0.8689

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) moved lower to 0.8600 against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) off the weekly open, the CAD still favoured after well received Canadian Job’s data late last week. However, the CAD has been unable to maintain its momentum into Wednesday, the kiwi recovering recent losses trading back to 0.8690. A sharp pullback in Crude Oil has also been an offsetting factor. Friday’s price fell back to 0.8660. Next week’s Bank of Canada cash rate announcement now holds focus.

Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8649
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8607- 0.8689

2019 price points… open 0.9015, close 0.8736, high 0.9279, low 0.8235.
Canadian jobs data Friday printed better than markets were predicting with 35,000 people entering the workforce up from the 24,000 with Unemployment dropping from 5.8% to 5.6% a significant move in the right direction. The data saw a rally in the CAD off the 6-month high of 0.8790 back to 0.8660. With a negative yield curve a concern for the Canadian economy and the prospects of a rate cut to accommodate – these jobs numbers show a different story and will be considered when the BoC meet on the 23rd of January. In the meantime, I am expecting a rise in NZD back to the prior high of 0.8790 if NZIER Business Confidence tomorrow allows.

Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.8648
Resistance: 0.8670
Support: 0.8640
Last Weeks Range: 0.8601-0.8681

After a high of 0.8734 last Friday ,a 4 month high, the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) has dropped to 0.8635 overnight aainst the Canadian Dollar (CAD) as a risk averse tone hit markets. The NAFTA Mark 2 is in the process of getting passed in the US but should not lead to an elevated CAD as this agreement is only a minor change to the old NAFTA agreement. Expect the NZD/CAD to consolidate around current levels until the risk-off tone abates, then look for the NZD to continue its upward momentum to retest the 0.8866 – 5 month high over the next couple of weeks.

Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8636
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8632- 0.8695

Relatively flat trading in this cross over the last week or so but the overall trend has remained NZD positive…the increase in risk sentiment over the past few days has seen the NZD/CAD overnight at the highest level in nearly 5 months at 0.8735 …the NZD has backed off a little from this level, now at 0.8730 but looks to be consolidating gains against the CAD with the next resistance level at 0.8765 then 0.8810.
Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8695
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8631- 0.8736

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) extended last week’s move higher against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) to 0.8680 before CAD rallied back. The Bank of Canada left rates unchanged at 1.75% Thursday, a little more hawkish in their statement – saying they are more confident in the outlook, reluctant to cut rates unless absolutely necessary. Price travelled back to 0.8590 levels with Canadian Unemployment still to come tonight.
Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8619
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8530- 0.8682

As things got underway Monday markets looked fairly positive, the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) surged to 0.8650 against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) from the opening price of 0.8530. A mix of optimism a phase one deal trade deal between China and the US and better than expected Chinese Manufacturing data sent risk products higher. Crude Oil is also up around 0.90% overnight but has been overlooked by investors. Thursday’s Bank of Canada rate decision is the main event of the calendar this week followed by Canadian unemployment. As we are trading at a four month high buying CAD looks very attractive.

Exchange Rate
Current Level:0.8648
Resistance: 0.8700
Support:0.8530
Last Weeks Range:0.8506-0.8658

The price this week in the Canadian Dollar (CAD), New Zealand Dollar (NZD) pair remained flat around the 0.8520 level. Early supportive NZ data looked to push price above the recent range instead only reaching 0.8550 before pulling back to 0.8515 Friday. Canadian Current Account deficit widened by 400M for the third quarter putting pressure on the Loonie (CAD) but with Crude Oil continuing to hold up around 58.00 per barrel we have seen little movement. Thanksgiving Holiday will thin markets for the remainder of the week with focus now on Bank of Canada Rate Statement next week.

Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8526
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8506- 0.8552

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) climbed to 0.8570 this week against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) pushing past resistance at 0.8500, the July 22 high. Crude Oil improved over 2% overnight to trade around 58.30 taking the kiwi off its high back to 0.8500 levels. Canadian CPI rose to 1.9% y/y and 0.3% in October following three consecutive monthly increases. RoC governor spoke in Toronto last night about economic change saying that he is “starting to see a glamour of response to global easing.”. If the cross can hold the 0.8500 handle pivot point we could see the kiwi push new highs in the coming days.

Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8499
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8428- 0.8568

After the RBNZ left the cash rate unchanged last week at 1.0% the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) has held onto most of its gains against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) closing the week around 0.8460 up from the open of 0.8365. Looking forward we have Canadian CPI which is expected to recover from Septembers contraction of -0.4% in the October release. We expect price to drift lower this week as risk factors impact the kiwi.

Exchange Rate
Current Level:0.8443
Resistance: 0.8500
Support: 0.8430
Last Weeks Range: 0.8366-0.8505

The RBNZ’s action to not cut rates to 0.75% and leave unchanged at 1.0% bought about a buying frenzy of NZD Wednesday. Against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) the kiwi rallied to 0.8500 but failed to push on through mid-September levels around 0.8510 instead falling away into Friday to 0.8440 as risk markets sold NZD. With a recent dovish Canadian central bank and an optimistic RBNZ we see the pair creeping higher to fresh highs and leaving the failed downside attempts of the last 6 weeks in its rear vision mirror. Risk factors around trade uncertainty in the tariff negotiations will clearly play a part though.

Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8446
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8366- 0.8503

Wild swings continue to dominate the theme in the Canadian Dollar (CAD), New Zealand Dollar (NZD) cross. The kiwi has rebounded north off the weekly open of 0.8365 to 0.8420 after the Loonie struggles with Friday’s poor jobs data. Unemployment was stable at 5.5% but new workers added to the economy was down at -1,800 sending the CAD reeling. This week’s RBNZ cash rate holds the focus with not all economists suggesting a cut is a given. We expect Orr to cut the cash rate back to 0.75% based on recent data and a worsening global outlook. Price looks to be well capped at 0.8450 pre RBNZ with our view that a sell off will take price a break through the recent low of 0.8350.

Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.8425
Resistance: 0.8480
Support: 0.8360
Last Weeks Range: 0.8349-0.8435

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) has underperformed this week against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) falling to the 0.8390 level Friday after opening around 0.8470. NZ employment figures, particularly the labour force participation level increased slightly to 0.2% in September from August’s 0.8% meeting predictions, but the employment rate jumped from 3.9% to 4.2% weighing heavily on the kiwi. Next week’s focus will be on the RBNZ cash rate announcement with predictions of a cut to 0.75%. We expect further declines in this pair with a possible retest of the low of 0.8270.

Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8390
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8360- 0.8490

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) has climbed to a fresh high of 0.8455 against the Canadian Dollar (CAD), a six-week high. The Bank of Canada (BoC) kept their cash rate on hold at 1.75% Thursday but the statement which followed was more dovish than markets had expected. This opened up a wave of CAD selling from 0.8300 as Loonie investors exited positions. Canadian August GDP released down at 0.1% a tad lower than the 0.2% expected also putting pressure on the CAD after a string of monthly declines from the 0.5% in March shows a worrying trend. Focus for next week will be on Canadian and NZ employment data.

Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8436
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8272- 0.8458

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) came off its early week high of 0.8410 against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) as broad based long positions took profit. This week’s Canadian Federal Elections are in full flight with results expected in a few hours. Currently both Conservative and Liberal governments won’t be able to form the majority of the 170 seats required from the 338 in total with both needing to team up to pass legislation. Trudaeu’s right wing party are battling to stay in power with the Conservative gaining ground over the past few days. 0.8420 resistance looks reasonably capped for now with downside towards 0.8250 the more likely scenario this week.

Exchange Rate
Current Level:0.8394
Resistance: 0.8420
Support: 0.8370
Last Weeks Range: 0.8246-0.8411

New Zealand Dollar (NZD) drifted lower to 0.8250 this week against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) boosted by last week’s Canadian employment results. NZ CPI for the quarter to September printed at 0.7% from 0.6% we expected reversing the kiwi off the low back towards 0.8340 Friday. Canadian monthly CPI wasn’t as positive down -0.4% for the month of September, adding further Loonie pressure. Looking ahead to next week it’s a slow week for NZ data with only Canadian Retail Sales of note. We suggest NZ CPI could support the kiwi for a few days with a possible retest of the 0.8430 recent high possible.

Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8355
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8247- 0.8357

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) underperformed against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) late Friday coming from 0.8430 to close at 0.8360, extending gains into Monday with price reaching 0.8300. Canadian employment surprised markets boosted by an increase of 53,700 people entering the workforce in September. Canadian Unemployment also clicked lower to 5.5% from 5.7% to show a robust labour market. Looking ahead we have quarterly NZ CPI figures and monthly Canadian CPI releases this week. Price around 0.8330 currently looks unsteady due to risk factors with the cross looking like it could retest the prior low of 0.8235 in the coming weeks.

Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.8328
Resistance: 0.8415
Support: 0.8300
Last Weeks Range: 0.8303-0.8427

Early this week the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) dropped to a fresh low of 0.8235 against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) after poor NZ Business Confidence reports showed a deterioration in overall business confidence and slowing activity. Canadian GDP m/m printed Wednesday turning the cross sharply higher to 0.8400 into Friday. Officially the Canadian economy has stalled in July raising concerns around the slowdown in Oil and gas being the main contributor. With GDP at 0.2% in June this drop is the largest since 2016 and sparks worries around the second half of the year potential downturn. Crude Oil holds around the 52.00 area but has fallen sharply off Monday’s open putting added pressure on the Loonie. Next week’s Canadian employment figures and unemployment rate are the focus. Those buyers of CAD should take advantage of this week’s spike.

Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.6297
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8237- 0.8422

Early this week the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) dropped to a fresh low of 0.8235 against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) after poor NZ Business Confidence reports showed a deterioration in overall business confidence and slowing activity. Canadian GDP m/m printed Wednesday turning the cross sharply higher to 0.8400 into Friday. Officially the Canadian economy has stalled in July raising concerns around the slowdown in Oil and gas being the main contributor. With GDP at 0.2% in June this drop is the largest since 2016 and sparks worries around the second half of the year potential downturn. Crude Oil holds around the 52.00 area but has fallen sharply off Monday’s open putting added pressure on the Loonie. Next week’s Canadian employment figures and unemployment rate are the focus. Those buyers of CAD should take advantage of this week’s spike.

Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.6297
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8237- 0.8422

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) broke lower through key heavy support of 0.8300 Monday against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) after NZ Business confidence released lower. Price sits just lower than the September 2015 low at 0.8294 Tuesday. The multi year support of 0.8237 is fast coming into play, past this point and its thin air through to 0.8150. Yesterday’s NZ ANZ Business Confidence printed at -53.5 lower than we expected which indicate levels not seen since the 2008 financial crisis. Businesses expectations for activity for the year ahead is bleak with no individual sector predicting they will be hiring more staff. Tomorrow’s Canadian GDP for July is expected to reflect slightly positive growth at 0.1%, anything lower than this and we should see a spike in the NZD

Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.8284
Resistance:0.8370
Support:0.8270
Last weeks Range: 0.8270-0.8413

After the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) got off to a flier early in the week against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) trading back at 0.8400. It lost its momentum just a quick as risk sentiment deteriorated tracking backwards to 0.8320. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand left the official cash rate unchanged on Wednesday at 1.0% but said there’s still room to cut further if necessary. The result was priced into expectations after the RBNZ surprised markets at their & August outing by cutting 50 points. Meeting inflation targets and maintaining high employment are the key focus looking ahead for the central bank amid a weakening global outlook. With the Crude Oil price consolidating around 56.50 and a lack of data in Canada price supported the kiwi trading back to 0.8380 Friday. Next week’s Canadian monthly GDP is the focus.

Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8346
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8302- 0.8413

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) was the stronger currency out of the blocks Monday reversing off the weekly close of 0.8310 to push back to 0.8350 against the Canadian Dollar (CAD). The kiwi traded briefly below 0.8300 Friday where key long term support lies at the October 2018 low. Price was boosted by reports out of China suggesting they had downplayed the significance of cancelling US farm visits, the Ministry of Commerce saying last week’s talks were productive. This week’s RBNZ official Cash Rate is the main event publishing on Wednesday with no change from the 1.0% expected.

Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.8340
Resistance: 0.8380
Support: 0.8300
Last Weeks Range: 0.8296-0.8426

After a shaky start to the week in the Canadian Dollar (CAD), New Zealand Dollar (NZD) pair the kiwi has resumed its downside momentum trading down to 0.8350. Meeting the late August price, the multi-year low Friday morning. Crude Oil has held up at early week prices around 58.00 boosting the CAD along with CPI m/m. CPI printed -0.1% from -0.2% after markets were expecting a downturn. Year on year to August the CPI price dipped to 1.9% from 2.0% mainly due to higher gasoline prices. Next week’s RBNZ announcement is now the focus with no change expected from the 1.0%

Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8343
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8336- 0.8470

It’s been a volatile open to the week in the Canadian Dollar (CAD), New Zealand Dollar (NZD) pair with Crude Oil the culprit. After a Saudi Arabian oil field was supposedly drone bombed over the weekend by Iran the oil price jumped from 54.00 to 62.50 sending the CAD higher and the cross to 0.8400. It did recover off the 0.8430 open for a while returning to 0.8470 but as overnight markets opened and the crude price rallied further the cross was sold off. This story will drive price through to Thursday’s Canadian CPI m/m and NZ quarterly GDP.

Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.8394
Resistance: 0.8470
Support: 0.8345
Last Weeks Range: 0.8392-0.8502

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) came off the recent high of 0.8500 against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) Thursday to trade back towards 0.8460 Friday as positive risk sentiment diminished. On the whole the current price reflects range bound moves, medium term we still support a bullish NZD as central banks continue to cut rates the NZD should become generally more attractive for investors looking for returns. Next week’s Canadian CPI m/m and NZD GDP q/q are the focus.

Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8459
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8423- 0.8502

With risk markets extending the run into Tuesday the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) continues to push higher against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) to 0.8450. Last week’s reversal from the low of 0.8340 looks a distant memory showing how risk sentiment can change the game so quickly. Even more impressive were the upward moves by the kiwi given last week’s data was very supportive of the CAD. The BoC suggested no further cuts were on the radar with Canadian unemployment printing a massive 81,100 additional people were added to the workforce from the predicted 19,000. We have no data this week on the docket suggesting if risk appetite remains strong we could see price push past last week’s high of 0.8490.

Exchange Rate
Current Level:0.9470
Resistance: 0.8655
Support: 0.8350
Last Weeks Range: 0.8366-0.8490

Early week trading in the New Zealand Dollar (NZD), Canadian Dollar (CAD) cross saw price move higher off recent lows from around 0.8350 back to 0.8470 Thursday. The Bank of Canada left rates unchanged Thursday at 1.75% the seventh time in a row and surprisingly indicated no further cuts were on the radar boosting the CAD. Friday’s unemployment rate and change in the number of employed is forecast to print decent numbers capping further upside. We think a retest of last week’s low of 0.8350 looks the likely outcome as the CAD gains further support in the short to medium term.

Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8437
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8365- 0.8471

This week’s attention in the Canadian Dollar (CAD), New Zealand Dollar (NZD) cross is with Canadian Data – with a big week ahead for the Loonie (CAD). It’s hard to see any shift in recent form from the high of 0.8910 in mid July developing. Trading around the 0.8400 area Tuesday the NZD has managed to climb off Friday’s low of 0.8345. The Bank of Canada announce their cash rate and monetary statement Thursday with no expectation they will cut yet from the 1.75% currently. Friday’s unemployment rate and change in the number of employed is forecast to print decent numbers. We think a retest of last week’s low looks the likely outcome.

Exchange Rate
Current Level:0.8944
Resistance:0.8520
Support: 0.8350
Last Weeks Range: 0.8347-0.8478

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) has continued to decline against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) for the sixth week straight dropping to 0.8435. Friday’s Canadian Retail Sales printed at 0.0% from the predicted -0.3% for June representing fairly good numbers considering the slide in resources. ANZ Business confidence releases Thursday prior to Canada’s Current Account and GDP. The multi-year low of 0.8320 could be retested this week if Canadian data prints well.

Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.8457
Resistance: 0.8650
Support: 0.8330
Last Weeks Range: 0.8438-0.8566

The New Zealand dollar (NZD) continues to decline against the Canadian dollar (CAD), trading to a fresh cycle low overnight of 0.8458. At this stage there is nothing to suggest the downtrend that has been in force since late July has run its course, and as such we expect further declines in the pair. The next major support level is the low from September 2018 at 0.8321, although that seems reasonably far away at this stage. This weekend’s Jackson Hole central banker symposium has the potential to be market moving so all eyes will be on a number of key speakers.

Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8469
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8459 – 0.8583

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) continued lower Monday to 0.8500 support against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) before reversing back towards 0.8550 Tuesday. Overnight Crude Oil surged higher to 56.35 (2.5%) along with US equity markets which were up over 1% assisting the kiwi. Canadian CPI Thursday holds attention with expectations of a 0.1% rise in July from -0.2% in June. Bearish momentum is expected to continue for a while yet.

Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.8542
Resistance: 0.8600
Support:0.8500
Last Weeks Range: 0.8500-0.8600

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) has pushed a little higher over the week to 0.8580 against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) influenced by offshore drivers. Canadian Payroll figures improved in July to register 73,700 jobs were added to the workforce showing strong job growth. However we saw no real reaction in the CAD after the news suggesting price in being driven by other factors such as Crude oil and a fundamental weakness of the Canadian Dollar. Next week’s focus is on Canadian monthly CPI and NZ Retail Sales.

Exchange Rate
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8565
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8515- 0.8599

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) bounced around last week against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) amid all the RBNZ excitement but has ultimately ended up where if started- bearish. Surprisingly even with a large miss in Canadian unemployment figures the NZD managed to continue south to 0.8520. Canadian Unemployment rose to 5.7% from the anticipated 5.5% and jobs numbers also declined to -24,000 after a rise of 15,000 was forecast, the second month on the trot. After a big week the pair has nothing of mention on the calendar for this week. We expect the kiwi to drift lower.

Current Level: 0.8537
Resistance: 0.8685
Support: 0.8480
Last Weeks Range: 0.8490 -0.8703

Recent pickups in the price of Crude Oil have supported the Canadian Dollar (CAD) with price rising over 3% in Thursday’s trading session to 53.00 per barrel. In the wake of Wednesday’s RBNZ announcement the kiwi sharply came off to 0.8500 levels. The RBNZ stunned markets by dropping the official cash rate to 1.0% from 1.5% in a move where markets were expecting only a 25 basis point shift lower to 1.25%. It was an unbelievable decision given the only time the RBNZ has cut rates by 50 points in the past was after the 9/11 terrorist attack, during the GFC, and post 2011 Christchurch earthquakes. It’s unlikely we will see further cuts now for a while, possibly November taking it down to 0.75%. The only Canadian data this week is tomorrow morning’s unemployment rate. The cross is still trading at the bottom of a bullish trend around the October 2018 level with huge support at 0.8330

Exchange Rates
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8575
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8489- 0.8704

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) broke lower Monday to an October 2016 low of 0.8575 against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) before reversing back to 0.8635 where support lies. Earlier Canadian Trade Balance surprised to the upside printing at 0.1% compared to -0.3% boosting the CAD with exports down 5.1% while imports fell 4.3% due to significant drops to crude oil. All eyes will be on the RBNZ cash rate announcement tomorrow with expectations that Orr will cut from 1.5% to 1.25%. We may see Orr utter comments that another cut is due later this year but not all analysts agree this will happen, certainly with new trade tariffs being introduced and the trade war escalating late last week who knows. In news just released the NZ unemployment rate fell to 3.9% in the June quarter down from market expectations of 4.2% in the March quarter. With the fall in the unemployment rate this has reflected in 9,000 people being added to the NZ workforce bringing the total number of unemployed to 109,000 in NZ. Price sharply rose to 0.8700 before retracing a tad lower to 08660 around lunch.
Exchange Rates
Current Level: 0.8664
Resistance: 0.8800
Support: 0.8620
Last Weeks Range: 0.8576-0.8737

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) hovers around the 0.8660 level Friday against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) after weaker than expected ANZ Business Confidence took the lower from 0.8740 earlier in the week. Canadian GDP printed at 0.2% expanding a third straight month into May with increases in manufacturing and construction and asking the question if the Bank of Canada will cut rates in the near term. Price should have tracked lower after the release on the strength of the CAD but with a heavy drop of over 6% in Crude Oil the CAD was put under pressure. Canadian Trade Balance releases tomorrow morning.
Exchange Rates
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8653
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8635- 0.8701

The bearish trend in the Canadian Dollar (CAD), New Zealand Dollar (CAD) has continued into this week with price dropping to 0.8705 early Tuesday. Crude Oil remains well supported with unplanned outages and sanctions on Iran and Venezuela’s production propping up the Crude price which trades at a healthy 57.10 today. If price edges back towards 60.00 per barrel we may 0.8625 key support broken as the yearly bearish momentum continues.
Exchange Rates
Current Level: 0.8728
Resistance: 0.8990
Support: 0.8650
Last Weeks Range: 0.8706-0.8870

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) surged to a seven week high of 0.8888 early in the week against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) continuing last week’s momentum with disappointing Canadian Core Retail Sales -0.3% vs +0.3% devaluing the CAD. Resistance around 0.8920 seemed a bridge too far for the kiwi with strong Crude Oil prices driving buyers back into the kiwi. NZ Trade Balance printing better than expected Wednesday at 365M compared to 100M markets were predicting but proved only temporary relief for the NZD with price at 0.8750 levels Friday. Unplanned outages and sanctions on Iran and Venezuela to oil production suggesting a recent decrease of around 8% are the reasons why oil prices have been recently well supported. Overall the pair still looks choppy since late April with strong support seen around 0.8650.
Exchange Rates
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8753
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8753- 0.8889

The New Zealand dollar (NZD) has had a strong we against the Canadian dollar (CAD), extending the rally that started early last week on a break above key downtrend resistance at 0.8720. Our target for this move has been the 0.8920-30 area and in the past 24 hours the pair has traded at high as 0.8889. Disappointing data from Canada at the end of last week, in the form of Core Retail Sales which printed at -0.3% vs +0.3% expected, helped to drive the latest leg higher in the pair, but the economic calendar this week looks very light so the pair may start to struggle on any potential approaches toward that 0.8920/30 resistance area. Initial downside support is currently seen around 0.8820.
Exchange Rates
Current Level:0.8851
Resistance:0.8930
Support: 0.8820
Last Weeks Range: 0.8734-0.8889

It has been a strong week for the New Zealand (NZD) across the board, but particularly so gains the Canadian dollar (CAD). The beak above key resistance around 0.8720 early in the week was a bullish signal and the pair has continued to make gains trading to a high overnight of 0.8847. Support is now seen around 0.8800 and at this stage I would expect that to contain any near term weakness. The topside target from here remains resistance around the 0.8920/30 area.
Exchange Rates
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8835
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8685 – 0.8847

The New Zealand dollar (NZD) has had a strong week vs the Canadian dollar (CAD), breaking above key downtrend resistance that was seen around 0.8720. This is a very bullish signal and should pave the way for further gains. That 0.8720 level is now seen as solid support and it should contain any potential periods of NZDCAD weakness. I would expect the pair to target gains toward 0.8810 initially, then potentially 0.8930 further out. Two key events have driven this move over the past week. Dovish statements from both the Bank and Canada and the US Fed sparked the gains mid last week, but yesterday we had sold Chinese activity data which only served to underpin the sold NZD’s footing.

Exchange Rates
Current Level: 0.8771
Resistance: 0.8930
Support: 0.8720
Last Weeks Range: 0.8626-0.8717

It has been a choppy week for the NZDCAD par with price action lurching between a short lived low of 0.8627 and a recent high of 0.8732. The Bank of Canada rate announcement caused a sharp move higher for the pair on Wednesday night after the central bank struck something of a dovish tone, albeit they left interest rates unchanged at 1.75%. The longer term trend, that has been in play since March this year, is to the downside and this week’s gains have yet to threaten that downtrend. It would take a sustained move over 0.8735 to bring that longer term trend into question, and until we see that the risks remain skewed toward further losses. We have inflation data from both countries to digest next week, while Canada will also release the latest reading on retail sales.

Exchange Rates
The current interbank midrate is: NZDCAD 0.8710
The interbank range this week has been: NZDCAD 0.8626 – 0.8732

The Canadian dollar (CAD) has significantly outperformed the New Zealand dollar (NZD) over the past week, driving the pair to a low of 0.8648 so far. While minor support around 0.8645 has contained the downside on a couple of occasions over the past 3 weeks, it’s looking increasingly vulnerable and should the Bank of Canada (BOC) produce a relatively upbeat economic assessment at this week’s meeting, we could easily see the pair break lower again. That would be a very bearish signal and all eyes would then turn to the 2018 low of 0.8321. That may seem a long way away at this stage, and there are some minor support levels around 0.8570 and again at 0.8470, but it would certainly be achievable over the coming months if both economies continue on their current paths.

Exchange Rates
Current Level: 0.8675
Resistance: 0.8780
Support: 0.8645
Last Weeks Range: 0.8648-0.8785