FX News

The Australian Dollar (AUD), British Pound (GBP) entered Tuesday around the weekly opening level of 0.5030 (1.9880) after flatlining mid last week. The Aussie still looks to be struggling post ongoing Chinese economic fears and a higher UK inflation read. Precious metal prices also have the AUD on the backfoot along with a disappointing wage report. This week’s UK manufacturing Wednesday is predicted to come in light which may give the Aussie investors more to cheer about.

Current Level: 0.5027
Resistance: 0.5270
Support: 0.5000
Last Weeks Range: 0.5008 – 0.5131

The Australian Dollar (AUD) held firm around the 0.6425 area post the open against the USD Dollar (USD) Monday as equity markets traded positive. It’s hard to know if we will see a reversal of sorts this week and a push higher, but with improved sentiment in China after an improved May manufacturing PMI read who knows. Australian Retail Sales came in hot at 0.5% in July after a poor June release surprising analysts as shoppers came out during the FIFA Women’s World Cup. Despite this the RBA is still likely to raise rates at the September 5 meeting. Looking ahead we have US Non-Farm Payroll Friday which will add volatility to the mix.

Current Level: 0.6432
Resistance: 0.6365
Support: 0.6500
Last Weeks Range: 0.6385 – 0.6488

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) traded a smidge lower off Monday’s open to 0.5885 (1.6990) into Tuesday sessions consolidating around a light calendar week for the cross. Earlier the Euro has proven to be resilient after Chinese economic concerns, however this week the pair may trade in a tightish range with a modest bullish bias.

Current Level: 1.8385
Resistance: 1.8520
Support: 1.7700
Last Weeks Range: 1.8203 – 1.8396

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) traded a smidge lower off Monday’s open to 0.5885 (1.6990) into Tuesday sessions consolidating around a light calendar week for the cross. Earlier the Euro has proven to be resilient after Chinese economic concerns, however this week the pair may trade in a tightish range with a modest bullish bias.

Current Level: 0.5439
Resistance: 0.5650
Support: 0.5400
Last Weeks Range: 0.5435 – 0.5493

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) showed signs early in the week of recovering off recent lows but instead carried on its downside path into Tuesday booking a new low of 0.4635 (2.1580) against the British Pound (GBP). It’s hard to see much change this week in a light calendar of data with only UK manufacturing printing Wednesday. Recent higher inflation reads should ensure the kiwi stays out of favour.

Current Level: 2.1523
Resistance: 2.1600
Support: 2.0530
Last Weeks Range: 2.1171 – 2.1529

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) showed signs early in the week of recovering off recent lows but instead carried on its downside path into Tuesday booking a new low of 0.4635 (2.1580) against the British Pound (GBP). It’s hard to see much change this week in a light calendar of data with only UK manufacturing printing Wednesday. Recent higher inflation reads should ensure the kiwi stays out of favour.

Current Level: 0.4646
Resistance: 0.4870
Support: 0.4630
Last Weeks Range: 0.4644 – 0.4723

Price in the Australian Dollar (AUD), New Zealand Dollar (NZD) cross this week is moving within Fibonacci key levels between 0.9220 (1.0850) and 0.9260 (1.0800). The Aussie may come under further pressures this week as investors digest Chinese economic woes. Of consideration are cloudy metal prices led by iron ore coming off over 3% in the last 30 days and a dovish RBA. NZ Retails Sales prints tomorrow, expected to come in at -0.4% for the June quarter.

Current Level: 1.0818
Resistance: 1.0740
Support: 1.0910
Last Weeks Range: 1.0779 – 1.0876

Price in the Australian Dollar (AUD), New Zealand Dollar (NZD) cross this week is moving within Fibonacci key levels between 0.9220 (1.0850) and 0.9260 (1.0800). The Aussie may come under further pressures this week as investors digest Chinese economic woes. Of consideration are cloudy metal prices led by iron ore coming off over 3% in the last 30 days and a dovish RBA. NZ Retails Sales prints tomorrow, expected to come in at -0.4% for the June quarter.

Current Level: 0.9239
Resistance: 0.9310
Support: 0.9165
Last Weeks Range: 0.9194 – 0.9277

Downside pressures in the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) eased slightly Monday against the US Dollar (USD) with price settling around the weekly open at 0.5925 this morning. With Fed’s Powell expected to deliver a hawkish speech later this week at the Jackson Hole event around how much interest rates could go in order to drag down inflation his comments may spook the markets. After all, recently we have been prepped for interest rate cuts in 2024 something markets had originally been forecasting to happen as soon as late this year. Rhetoric suggesting the fight against inflation is “far from over’ will most likely be the theme. NZ Retail Sales prints tomorrow, predicted to come in poor and later this week we have US consumer sentiment.

Current Level: 0.5927
Resistance: 0.6400
Support: 0.5900
Last Weeks Range: 0.5901 – 0.5994